TON11419 Risk Matrix

$1.6490 | Risk: 0.40

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-07-10 13:18 UTC

📈 TON11419 Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $0.5669
Level 0.05 $0.7034
Level 0.10 $0.8400
Level 0.15 $0.9766
Level 0.20 $1.1132
Level 0.25 $1.2497
Level 0.30 $1.3863
Level 0.35 $1.5229
Level 0.40 $1.6594
Level 0.45 $1.7960
Level 0.50 $1.9326
Level 0.55 $2.0691
Level 0.60 $2.2057
Level 0.65 $2.3423
Level 0.70 $2.4788
Level 0.75 $2.6154
Level 0.80 $2.7520
Level 0.85 $2.8885
Level 0.90 $3.0251
Level 0.95 $3.1617
Level 1.00 $3.2982

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes TON11419's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what TON11419's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.