Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-06-14 1.220471 1.375544 1.545936 1.747586 1.980386 2.241503 2.557662
2026-06-21 0.991429 1.197802 1.443654 1.760277 2.160319 2.653038 3.312149
2026-06-28 0.883944 1.118777 1.414238 1.817599 2.360626 3.075986 4.105809
2026-07-05 0.779310 1.022481 1.341740 1.798158 2.444734 3.344541 4.721379
2026-07-12 0.690852 0.933739 1.264094 1.755028 2.481293 3.540931 5.251288
2026-07-19 0.622752 0.863818 1.202028 1.722207 2.522217 3.740601 5.806248
2026-07-26 0.595887 0.848277 1.213594 1.795397 2.726529 4.209083 6.855853
2026-08-02 0.553569 0.805391 1.179600 1.793514 2.810230 4.492788 7.636337
2026-08-09 0.514376 0.763238 1.141973 1.780392 2.871557 4.743388 8.393547
2026-08-16 0.479011 0.723687 1.104308 1.762220 2.920279 4.975242 9.149319
2026-08-23 0.445938 0.684898 1.064170 1.735105 2.948815 5.171899 9.865266
2026-08-30 0.417891 0.651899 1.030466 1.715143 2.986729 5.388570 10.654982
2026-09-06 0.414528 0.660135 1.067675 1.826921 3.287954 6.165706 12.813746
2026-09-13 0.393485 0.637189 1.049999 1.837962 3.399383 6.584265 14.273689
2026-09-20 0.382343 0.630048 1.058803 1.898432 3.614925 7.249911 16.456912
2026-09-27 0.360105 0.601729 1.027264 1.877970 3.661694 7.556885 17.822726
2026-10-04 0.336429 0.569125 0.985267 1.832617 3.650037 7.730320 18.880370
2026-10-11 0.316305 0.541537 0.950408 1.798110 3.657448 7.948498 20.108683
2026-10-18 0.311929 0.542443 0.969162 1.875068 3.921722 8.821723 23.404783
2026-10-25 0.298255 0.525009 0.951231 1.873088 4.005115 9.261332 25.535963
2026-11-01 0.284268 0.506040 0.928843 1.859289 4.058870 9.633607 27.557661
2026-11-08 0.270738 0.487080 0.905076 1.840179 4.097446 9.972180 29.563859
2026-11-15 0.257204 0.467277 0.878210 1.811670 4.109417 10.240674 31.410209