CryptoWeeklies / Reports / XTZ
Tezos (XTZ) research
Every model we publish for Tezos — valuation, risk and forecast — regenerated daily from market data. Free, no account.
Tezos key levels today
The headline figure from each of Tezos's reports, as published today. Each comes from the report linked beside it.
| Lifetime TWAP | $1.78 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| Gravity Risk (0-100) | 0.9 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| 200-week moving average | $0.74 | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Regression floor | $0.15 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Regression fair value | $0.25 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Regression ceiling | $0.60 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Moving-average risk score | 41.0% | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| 20-week SMA risk level (0-1) | 0.40 | 20-Week SMA Risk |
| Forecast base target | $0.23 (68% range $0.12 to $0.47) | Price Forecast |
Is Tezos overvalued right now?
Tezos trades 86% below its lifetime Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP), with a Gravity Risk score of 0.9/100.
Where is Tezos against its 200-week moving average?
Tezos is 65.4% below its 200-week moving average of $0.74, at $0.25. Macro risk score 41.0%.
What is Tezos's 20-week moving-average risk level?
Tezos at $0.25 sits at risk level 0.40 on a 0-1 scale against its 20-week moving average.
Where is Tezos against its DCA fair value?
Tezos sits 2% above its regression fair value of $0.25.
What does the model forecast for the Tezos price?
Tezos model base target $0.23, with a 68% range of $0.12 to $0.47.
Tezos against other assets
How does Tezos's reading today compare with its own history?
Across 107 weekly readings from 2024-10-13 to 2026-11-09, Tezos's premium to its lifetime TWAP ranged from 89% below to 17% below, with a median of 72% below. Today it is 86% below. Against its regression fair value it ranged from 69% below to 32% above over 106 weeks from 2024-10-13 to 2026-11-09, with a median of 33% below; today it is 2% above.
How does Tezos's Gravity Risk compare with other crypto assets?
Tezos's Gravity Risk of 0.9 is the 34th lowest of the 84 crypto assets we track, against a median of 2.0. The lowest reading today, 0, is shared by Cosmos, Axie Infinity, Flow, Flare, Ampleforth, Loopring, Mantra, Ronin and Theta Network, and the highest is Tron at 57.1. By premium to its lifetime TWAP, 86% below, it is the 28th lowest of the 84, against a median of 75% below.
Tezos's track record
Every weekly DCA reading published for Tezos since mid-2024, set beside the price 13 and 26 weeks later: see the receipts.