CryptoWeeklies / Reports / TON
Toncoin (TON) research
Data paused since 10 Jul 2026. Our price source stopped publishing Toncoin in July 2026. Every figure for Toncoin on this page is its last reading and is not updating.
Toncoin key levels at the last reading
The headline figure from each of Toncoin's reports, as last published. Each comes from the report linked beside it.
| Lifetime TWAP | $2.80 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| Gravity Risk (0-100) | 5.2 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| 200-week moving average | $3.06 | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Regression floor | $1.15 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Regression fair value | $1.76 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Regression ceiling | $3.78 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Moving-average risk score | 35.9% | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| 20-week SMA risk level (0-1) | 0.40 | 20-Week SMA Risk |
| Log regression deviation | -3.52% | Log Regression Fair Value |
| Forecast base target | $1.47 (68% range $0.82 to $2.81) | Price Forecast |
| Base scenario value by 2040 | $7.00 | Retirement CAGR Model |
Is Toncoin overvalued right now?
Last reading, 10 Jul 2026: Toncoin trades 41% below its lifetime Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP), with a Gravity Risk score of 5.2/100.
Where is Toncoin against its 200-week moving average?
Last reading, 10 Jul 2026: Toncoin is 46.3% below its 200-week moving average of $3.06, at $1.64. Macro risk score 35.9%.
What is Toncoin's 20-week moving-average risk level?
Last reading, 10 Jul 2026: Toncoin at $1.64 sits at risk level 0.40 on a 0-1 scale against its 20-week moving average.
Where is Toncoin against its DCA fair value?
Last reading, 10 Jul 2026: Toncoin sits 7% below its regression fair value of $1.76.
Is Toncoin above or below its log regression fair value?
Last reading, 10 Jul 2026: Toncoin is 4% below its log regression fair value.
Is Toncoin in accumulation or euphoria on the rainbow chart?
Last reading, 10 Jul 2026: Toncoin is in a bear market / accumulation phase at $1.65.
What does the model forecast for the Toncoin price?
Last reading, 10 Jul 2026: Toncoin model base target $1.47, with a 68% range of $0.82 to $2.81.
How much Toncoin do you need to retire?
Last reading, 10 Jul 2026: In the base scenario (25% in growth years, with a drawdown every four years), Toncoin reaches $7.00 by 2040. A scenario, not a forecast.