CryptoWeeklies / Reports / OP
Optimism (OP) research
Every model we publish for Optimism — valuation, risk and forecast — regenerated daily from market data. Free, no account.
Optimism key levels today
The headline figure from each of Optimism's reports, as published today. Each comes from the report linked beside it.
| Lifetime TWAP | $1.13 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| Gravity Risk (0-100) | 0.1 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| 200-week moving average | $1.31 | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Regression floor | $0.0056 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Regression fair value | $0.011 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Regression ceiling | $0.15 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Moving-average risk score | 40.1% | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| 20-week SMA risk level (0-1) | 0.24 | 20-Week SMA Risk |
| Log regression deviation | +791.29% | Log Regression Fair Value |
| Forecast base target | $0.13 (68% range $0.0028 to $0.61) | Price Forecast |
Is Optimism overvalued right now?
Optimism trades 91% below its lifetime Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP), with a Gravity Risk score of 0.1/100.
Where is Optimism against its 200-week moving average?
Optimism is 92.2% below its 200-week moving average of $1.31, at $0.10. Macro risk score 40.1%.
What is Optimism's 20-week moving-average risk level?
Optimism at $0.10 sits at risk level 0.24 on a 0-1 scale against its 20-week moving average.
Where is Optimism against its DCA fair value?
Optimism sits 804% above its regression fair value of $0.011.
Is Optimism above or below its log regression fair value?
Optimism is 791% above its log regression fair value.
What does the model forecast for the Optimism price?
Optimism model base target $0.13, with a 68% range of $0.0028 to $0.61.
Optimism against other assets
How does Optimism's reading today compare with its own history?
Across 117 weekly readings from 2024-08-04 to 2026-11-09, Optimism's premium to its lifetime TWAP ranged from 93% below to 71% above, with a median of 61% below. Today it is 91% below. Against its regression fair value it ranged from 82% below to 1090% above over 116 weeks from 2024-08-04 to 2026-11-09, with a median of 35% below; today it is 804% above.
How does Optimism's Gravity Risk compare with other crypto assets?
Optimism's Gravity Risk of 0.1 is tied for the 10th lowest of the 84 crypto assets we track, against a median of 2.0. The lowest reading today, 0, is shared by Cosmos, Axie Infinity, Flow, Flare, Ampleforth, Loopring, Mantra, Ronin and Theta Network, and the highest is Tron at 57.1. By premium to its lifetime TWAP, 91% below, it is the 18th lowest of the 84, against a median of 75% below.
Optimism's track record
Every weekly DCA reading published for Optimism since mid-2024, set beside the price 13 and 26 weeks later: see the receipts.