CryptoWeeklies / Reports / NVDA
NVIDIA (NVDA) research
Every model we publish for NVIDIA — valuation, risk and forecast — regenerated daily from market data. Free, no account.
NVIDIA key levels today
The headline figure from each of NVIDIA's reports, as published today. Each comes from the report linked beside it.
| 200-week TWAP | $122.83 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| Gravity Risk (0-100) | 30.8 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| 200-week moving average | $123.37 | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Accumulation line (-1σ) | $251.68 | Valuation Bands |
| Valuation-band fair value | $308.17 | Valuation Bands |
| Distribution line (+1σ) | $377.33 | Valuation Bands |
| Detected market phase | Max Despair (-3σ) | Valuation Bands |
| Moving-average risk score | 42.9% | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Forecast base target | $206.48 (68% range $134.89 to $317.65) | Price Forecast |
Is NVIDIA overvalued right now?
NVIDIA trades 44% above its 200-week Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP), with a Gravity Risk score of 30.8/100.
Where is NVIDIA against its 200-week moving average?
NVIDIA is 43.7% above its 200-week moving average of $123.37, at $177.30. Macro risk score 42.9%.
What are NVIDIA's fair value, floor and ceiling?
NVIDIA fair value $308.17; the phase detector reads Max Despair (-3σ), 4.5% through the phase.
What does the model forecast for the NVIDIA price?
NVIDIA model base target $206.48 by May 16, 2027, with a 68% range of $134.89 to $317.65.
How does NVIDIA's reading today compare with its own history?
Across the 45 daily readings published from 2026-09-04 to 2026-11-09, NVIDIA's moving-average risk score ranged from 42.9 to 88 (42.9 today) and its phase completion ranged from 4.5% to 29.8% (4.5% today).
How does NVIDIA's Gravity Risk compare with other AI infrastructure stocks?
NVIDIA's Gravity Risk of 30.8 is the 15th lowest of the 32 AI infrastructure stocks we track, against a median of 31.4. The lowest reading today is CoreWeave at 0 and the highest is Riskified at 98.3. By premium to its 200-week TWAP, 44% above, it is the 14th highest of the 32, against a median of 40% above.