Weekly candle labelled : the plotted close is $177.30. Compare it with the three averages at the same candle below. A positive gap means the close is above that average; a negative gap means it is below.
| Average | Plotted value | Close vs average |
|---|---|---|
| 20-week average | $212.80 | -16.7% |
| 100-week average | $175.13 | +1.2% |
| 200-week average | $123.37 | +43.7% |
The lower panel reads 0.429 on a 0–1 scale. It averages the chart’s 20-, 100- and 200-week sigmoid risk readings. This is a model indicator, not a probability of loss or a forecast of the next price move.
Weekly candles are labelled by period end, so the current candle may be incomplete. See how composite moving-average risk works and the research methodology.