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Intel (INTC) research
Every model we publish for Intel — valuation, risk and forecast — regenerated daily from market data. Free, no account.
Intel key levels today
The headline figure from each of Intel's reports, as published today. Each comes from the report linked beside it.
| 200-week TWAP | $42.20 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| Gravity Risk (0-100) | 39.6 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| 200-week moving average | $42.29 | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Valuation-band fair value | $66.68 | Valuation Bands |
| Detected market phase | Bear Market / Accumulation | Valuation Bands |
| Moving-average risk score | 42.9% | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Forecast base target | $62.24 (68% range $39.82 to $107.20) | Price Forecast |
Is Intel overvalued right now?
Intel trades 39% above its 200-week Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP), with a Gravity Risk score of 39.6/100.
Where is Intel against its 200-week moving average?
Intel is 38.3% above its 200-week moving average of $42.29, at $58.48. Macro risk score 42.9%.
What are Intel's fair value, floor and ceiling?
Intel fair value $66.68, with accumulation floor and euphoria ceiling.
What does the model forecast for the Intel price?
Intel model base target $62.24 by May 16, 2027, with a 68% range of $39.82 to $107.20.
How does Intel's reading today compare with its own history?
Across the 45 daily readings published from 2026-09-04 to 2026-11-09, Intel's moving-average risk score ranged from 41.5 to 87.3 (42.9 today).
How does Intel's Gravity Risk compare with other AI infrastructure stocks?
Intel's Gravity Risk of 39.6 is the 13th highest of the 32 AI infrastructure stocks we track, against a median of 31.4. The lowest reading today is CoreWeave at 0 and the highest is Riskified at 98.3. By premium to its 200-week TWAP, 39% above, it is the 16th lowest of the 32, against a median of 40% above.