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Algorand (ALGO) research
Every model we publish for Algorand — valuation, risk and forecast — regenerated daily from market data. Free, no account.
Algorand key levels today
The headline figure from each of Algorand's reports, as published today. Each comes from the report linked beside it.
| Lifetime TWAP | $0.41 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| Gravity Risk (0-100) | 2.1 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| 200-week moving average | $0.17 | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Regression floor | $0.034 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Regression fair value | $0.079 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Regression ceiling | $0.23 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Moving-average risk score | 39.3% | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| 20-week SMA risk level (0-1) | 0.37 | 20-Week SMA Risk |
| Log regression deviation | +18.81% | Log Regression Fair Value |
| Forecast base target | $0.087 (68% range $0.057 to $0.15) | Price Forecast |
Is Algorand overvalued right now?
Algorand trades 77% below its lifetime Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP), with a Gravity Risk score of 2.1/100.
Where is Algorand against its 200-week moving average?
Algorand is 45.4% below its 200-week moving average of $0.17, at $0.094. Macro risk score 39.3%.
What is Algorand's 20-week moving-average risk level?
Algorand at $0.094 sits at risk level 0.37 on a 0-1 scale against its 20-week moving average.
Where is Algorand against its DCA fair value?
Algorand sits 19% above its regression fair value of $0.079.
Is Algorand above or below its log regression fair value?
Algorand is 19% above its log regression fair value.
Is Algorand in accumulation or euphoria on the rainbow chart?
Algorand is in bull phase expansion at $0.094.
What does the model forecast for the Algorand price?
Algorand model base target $0.087, with a 68% range of $0.057 to $0.15.
Algorand against other assets
How does Algorand's reading today compare with its own history?
Across 120 weekly readings from 2024-07-14 to 2026-11-09, Algorand's premium to its lifetime TWAP ranged from 81% below to 2% above, with a median of 70% below. Today it is 77% below. Against its regression fair value it ranged from 167% below to 64% above over 121 weeks from 2024-06-23 to 2026-11-09, with a median of 54% below; today it is 19% above.
How does Algorand's Gravity Risk compare with other crypto assets?
Algorand's Gravity Risk of 2.1 is the 42nd highest of the 84 crypto assets we track, against a median of 2.0. The lowest reading today, 0, is shared by Cosmos, Axie Infinity, Flow, Flare, Ampleforth, Loopring, Mantra, Ronin and Theta Network, and the highest is Tron at 57.1. By premium to its lifetime TWAP, 77% below, it is the 40th lowest of the 84, against a median of 75% below.
Algorand's track record
Every weekly DCA reading published for Algorand since mid-2024, set beside the price 13 and 26 weeks later: see the receipts.