OP Risk Matrix

$0.1214 | Risk: 0.26

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-09-18 23:54 UTC

📈 OP Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $-0.1357
Level 0.05 $-0.0862
Level 0.10 $-0.0367
Level 0.15 $0.0127
Level 0.20 $0.0622
Level 0.25 $0.1117
Level 0.30 $0.1612
Level 0.35 $0.2107
Level 0.40 $0.2602
Level 0.45 $0.3097
Level 0.50 $0.3592
Level 0.55 $0.4087
Level 0.60 $0.4582
Level 0.65 $0.5077
Level 0.70 $0.5572
Level 0.75 $0.6067
Level 0.80 $0.6562
Level 0.85 $0.7057
Level 0.90 $0.7552
Level 0.95 $0.8046
Level 1.00 $0.8541

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes OP's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what OP's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.