Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-06-14 0.016695 0.035451 0.061732 0.098277 0.145322 0.201813 0.272894
2026-06-21 0.002113 0.016822 0.049211 0.105748 0.189474 0.299815 0.448379
2026-06-28 0.000120 0.011047 0.047449 0.120636 0.237081 0.397186 0.618994
2026-07-05 NaN 0.006652 0.044238 0.130929 0.277531 0.485989 0.781111
2026-07-12 NaN 0.002817 0.037031 0.130820 0.300364 0.549894 0.910807
2026-07-19 NaN 0.000303 0.025169 0.116219 0.296797 0.574598 0.987143
2026-07-26 NaN NaN 0.015946 0.101768 0.289890 0.592201 1.052425
2026-08-02 NaN NaN 0.011201 0.095523 0.295679 0.627785 1.142296
2026-08-09 NaN NaN 0.009081 0.095989 0.313615 0.682102 1.259172
2026-08-16 NaN NaN 0.006859 0.094282 0.326650 0.728662 1.365348
2026-08-23 NaN NaN 0.004026 0.086445 0.325721 0.752289 1.438247
2026-08-30 NaN NaN 0.004992 0.099484 0.370080 0.850308 1.620808
2026-09-06 NaN NaN 0.005438 0.110212 0.411187 0.945883 1.804219
2026-09-13 NaN NaN 0.005119 0.116507 0.443262 1.027767 1.969300
2026-09-20 NaN NaN 0.006371 0.132689 0.497371 1.146318 2.188925
2026-09-27 NaN NaN 0.006729 0.143463 0.539911 1.246380 2.382201
2026-10-04 NaN NaN 0.005425 0.143374 0.558566 1.307437 2.518705
2026-10-11 NaN NaN 0.002603 0.127929 0.541303 1.308243 2.565966
2026-10-18 NaN NaN 0.000872 0.112607 0.521545 1.303283 2.603611
2026-10-25 NaN NaN 0.000306 0.105969 0.521299 1.330788 2.689437
2026-11-01 NaN NaN 0.000158 0.106464 0.538886 1.389316 2.822582
2026-11-08 NaN NaN 0.000041 0.104649 0.550213 1.436943 2.939441
2026-11-15 NaN NaN NaN 0.096301 0.543131 1.451661 3.005907