MKR Risk Matrix

$1,586.6520 | Risk: 0.34

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-09-18 23:54 UTC

📈 MKR Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $804.6357
Level 0.05 $920.0040
Level 0.10 $1,035.3723
Level 0.15 $1,150.7405
Level 0.20 $1,266.1088
Level 0.25 $1,381.4771
Level 0.30 $1,496.8454
Level 0.35 $1,612.2136
Level 0.40 $1,727.5819
Level 0.45 $1,842.9502
Level 0.50 $1,958.3184
Level 0.55 $2,073.6867
Level 0.60 $2,189.0550
Level 0.65 $2,304.4232
Level 0.70 $2,419.7915
Level 0.75 $2,535.1598
Level 0.80 $2,650.5280
Level 0.85 $2,765.8963
Level 0.90 $2,881.2646
Level 0.95 $2,996.6329
Level 1.00 $3,112.0011

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes MKR's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what MKR's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.