Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-06-14 1040.786823 1167.262526 1303.306136 1460.578578 1637.464508 1830.356866 2056.783715
2026-06-21 845.238586 1020.923687 1224.623345 1478.533140 1786.987199 2150.121153 2610.937709
2026-06-28 729.432386 927.479231 1169.372887 1487.138567 1894.535662 2400.620890 3079.106715
2026-07-05 646.449364 857.042224 1125.398273 1493.377755 1986.448332 2626.597304 3524.574475
2026-07-12 592.449254 814.429756 1107.898147 1525.620034 2107.316855 2892.230555 4037.870005
2026-07-19 545.745101 774.841646 1087.821312 1548.436509 2212.376405 3139.825878 4542.741399
2026-07-26 505.340670 738.859606 1067.555876 1566.261805 2308.133235 3377.824093 5049.838127
2026-08-02 469.064336 704.641273 1045.501310 1577.431114 2392.168846 3601.976734 5551.524253
2026-08-09 442.385642 681.656596 1036.935984 1606.245915 2502.548258 3870.900286 6140.377799
2026-08-16 404.414763 637.912956 992.997820 1576.095979 2517.772736 3992.834167 6505.629911
2026-08-23 367.277495 592.189889 941.963462 1529.701429 2501.872278 4062.025715 6787.726411
2026-08-30 333.526083 549.050659 891.403852 1479.350586 2474.219142 4107.961239 7031.643277
2026-09-06 320.949148 539.874450 895.382126 1519.945691 2602.126501 4422.479300 7763.052453
2026-09-13 305.033572 523.858879 886.820091 1538.583133 2694.009857 4683.205858 8423.490540
2026-09-20 288.863684 506.014818 873.571503 1547.549918 2768.818425 4918.697418 9056.672608
2026-09-27 273.732917 488.725612 859.788078 1554.050259 2838.918412 5149.874237 9699.477457
2026-10-04 264.182317 480.556275 861.205573 1587.642734 2960.252508 5481.770316 10557.643965
2026-10-11 253.839470 470.104520 857.623182 1611.415209 3064.523942 5788.995594 11392.797394
2026-10-18 243.511130 458.864622 851.670482 1629.987676 3159.771503 6085.382331 12230.079063
2026-10-25 232.993705 446.464068 842.584397 1641.625293 3241.949302 6361.833254 13049.050646
2026-11-01 225.566254 439.420221 843.026946 1671.648709 3362.307287 6721.474617 14067.784848
2026-11-08 211.153134 417.704913 813.722603 1640.234173 3356.043917 6826.168601 14559.151938
2026-11-15 195.897279 393.260453 777.414631 1591.895105 3311.055278 6847.662593 14872.549991