XRP/ETH Asset Valuation

LAST UPDATE: 2026-06-12 02:16 UTC | 23-WEEK HORIZON

68% Bear Target

Ξ 0.000363

23-Week Base Target

Ξ 0.000709

68% Bull Target

Ξ 0.001492

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

This analysis provides a projection of XRP's valuation against Ethereum (ETH) using a Seasonal ARIMA model combined with a Box-Cox transformation to normalize historical volatility.

  • Bear Case: The lower bound of the confidence interval, representing a pessimistic rotation out of the asset and into ETH.
  • Base Case: The mathematical mean trajectory projected by the algorithm.
  • Bull Case: The upper bound of the confidence interval, representing an optimistic outperformance against ETH.

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%. This acts as a mathematical cone illustrating the probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull bounds over the next 23 weeks.

NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY.

Raw Data Matrix (ETH)

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-06-21 Ξ 0.000499 Ξ 0.000552 Ξ 0.000608 Ξ 0.000673 Ξ 0.000746 Ξ 0.000826 Ξ 0.000920
2026-06-28 Ξ 0.000410 Ξ 0.000483 Ξ 0.000568 Ξ 0.000673 Ξ 0.000801 Ξ 0.000953 Ξ 0.001149
2026-07-05 Ξ 0.000355 Ξ 0.000437 Ξ 0.000537 Ξ 0.000669 Ξ 0.000839 Ξ 0.001054 Ξ 0.001350
2026-07-12 Ξ 0.000319 Ξ 0.000407 Ξ 0.000519 Ξ 0.000673 Ξ 0.000882 Ξ 0.001160 Ξ 0.001563
2026-07-19 Ξ 0.000291 Ξ 0.000382 Ξ 0.000502 Ξ 0.000674 Ξ 0.000917 Ξ 0.001255 Ξ 0.001771
2026-07-26 Ξ 0.000270 Ξ 0.000364 Ξ 0.000492 Ξ 0.000682 Ξ 0.000960 Ξ 0.001363 Ξ 0.002008
2026-08-02 Ξ 0.000249 Ξ 0.000344 Ξ 0.000477 Ξ 0.000678 Ξ 0.000985 Ξ 0.001447 Ξ 0.002217
2026-08-09 Ξ 0.000234 Ξ 0.000330 Ξ 0.000467 Ξ 0.000682 Ξ 0.001019 Ξ 0.001545 Ξ 0.002459
2026-08-16 Ξ 0.000219 Ξ 0.000315 Ξ 0.000455 Ξ 0.000680 Ξ 0.001045 Ξ 0.001632 Ξ 0.002692
2026-08-23 Ξ 0.000207 Ξ 0.000304 Ξ 0.000448 Ξ 0.000686 Ξ 0.001081 Ξ 0.001739 Ξ 0.002971
2026-08-30 Ξ 0.000197 Ξ 0.000294 Ξ 0.000442 Ξ 0.000691 Ξ 0.001117 Ξ 0.001847 Ξ 0.003266
2026-09-06 Ξ 0.000190 Ξ 0.000288 Ξ 0.000441 Ξ 0.000704 Ξ 0.001167 Ξ 0.001985 Ξ 0.003636
2026-09-13 Ξ 0.000177 Ξ 0.000272 Ξ 0.000424 Ξ 0.000690 Ξ 0.001171 Ξ 0.002045 Ξ 0.003870
2026-09-20 Ξ 0.000168 Ξ 0.000262 Ξ 0.000415 Ξ 0.000690 Ξ 0.001199 Ξ 0.002154 Ξ 0.004223
2026-09-27 Ξ 0.000158 Ξ 0.000251 Ξ 0.000404 Ξ 0.000686 Ξ 0.001220 Ξ 0.002251 Ξ 0.004565
2026-10-04 Ξ 0.000152 Ξ 0.000244 Ξ 0.000399 Ξ 0.000690 Ξ 0.001257 Ξ 0.002382 Ξ 0.005005
2026-10-11 Ξ 0.000145 Ξ 0.000236 Ξ 0.000392 Ξ 0.000691 Ξ 0.001286 Ξ 0.002503 Ξ 0.005440
2026-10-18 Ξ 0.000140 Ξ 0.000231 Ξ 0.000389 Ξ 0.000699 Ξ 0.001331 Ξ 0.002660 Ξ 0.005988
2026-10-25 Ξ 0.000133 Ξ 0.000223 Ξ 0.000381 Ξ 0.000696 Ξ 0.001352 Ξ 0.002769 Ξ 0.006438
2026-11-01 Ξ 0.000128 Ξ 0.000217 Ξ 0.000376 Ξ 0.000699 Ξ 0.001387 Ξ 0.002913 Ξ 0.007001
2026-11-08 Ξ 0.000123 Ξ 0.000211 Ξ 0.000370 Ξ 0.000698 Ξ 0.001412 Ξ 0.003036 Ξ 0.007535
2026-11-15 Ξ 0.000119 Ξ 0.000206 Ξ 0.000366 Ξ 0.000703 Ξ 0.001452 Ξ 0.003201 Ξ 0.008216
2026-11-22 Ξ 0.000115 Ξ 0.000202 Ξ 0.000363 Ξ 0.000709 Ξ 0.001492 Ξ 0.003371 Ξ 0.008945