XRP/BTC Asset Valuation

LAST UPDATE: 2026-06-12 02:17 UTC | 23-WEEK HORIZON

68% Bear Target

₿ 0.00000998

23-Week Base Target

₿ 0.00001818

68% Bull Target

₿ 0.00003906

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

This analysis provides a projection of XRP's valuation against Bitcoin (BTC) using a Seasonal ARIMA model combined with a Box-Cox transformation to normalize historical volatility.

  • Bear Case: The lower bound of the confidence interval, representing a pessimistic rotation out of the asset and into BTC.
  • Base Case: The mathematical mean trajectory projected by the algorithm.
  • Bull Case: The upper bound of the confidence interval, representing an optimistic outperformance against BTC.

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%. This acts as a mathematical cone illustrating the probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull bounds over the next 23 weeks.

NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY.

Raw Data Matrix (BTC)

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-06-21 ₿ 0.00001391 ₿ 0.00001523 ₿ 0.00001666 ₿ 0.00001833 ₿ 0.00002024 ₿ 0.00002236 ₿ 0.00002491
2026-06-28 ₿ 0.00001164 ₿ 0.00001350 ₿ 0.00001568 ₿ 0.00001846 ₿ 0.00002195 ₿ 0.00002626 ₿ 0.00003208
2026-07-05 ₿ 0.00001017 ₿ 0.00001223 ₿ 0.00001476 ₿ 0.00001819 ₿ 0.00002279 ₿ 0.00002890 ₿ 0.00003793
2026-07-12 ₿ 0.00000932 ₿ 0.00001153 ₿ 0.00001437 ₿ 0.00001838 ₿ 0.00002408 ₿ 0.00003219 ₿ 0.00004517
2026-07-19 ₿ 0.00000860 ₿ 0.00001089 ₿ 0.00001392 ₿ 0.00001838 ₿ 0.00002502 ₿ 0.00003503 ₿ 0.00005230
2026-07-26 ₿ 0.00000808 ₿ 0.00001044 ₿ 0.00001365 ₿ 0.00001856 ₿ 0.00002620 ₿ 0.00003837 ₿ 0.00006097
2026-08-02 ₿ 0.00000757 ₿ 0.00000994 ₿ 0.00001326 ₿ 0.00001848 ₿ 0.00002694 ₿ 0.00004107 ₿ 0.00006917
2026-08-09 ₿ 0.00000716 ₿ 0.00000954 ₿ 0.00001296 ₿ 0.00001848 ₿ 0.00002776 ₿ 0.00004404 ₿ 0.00007866
2026-08-16 ₿ 0.00000680 ₿ 0.00000920 ₿ 0.00001270 ₿ 0.00001851 ₿ 0.00002861 ₿ 0.00004716 ₿ 0.00008940
2026-08-23 ₿ 0.00000646 ₿ 0.00000884 ₿ 0.00001238 ₿ 0.00001840 ₿ 0.00002919 ₿ 0.00004989 ₿ 0.00010015
2026-08-30 ₿ 0.00000615 ₿ 0.00000851 ₿ 0.00001209 ₿ 0.00001829 ₿ 0.00002975 ₿ 0.00005263 ₿ 0.00011190
2026-09-06 ₿ 0.00000588 ₿ 0.00000821 ₿ 0.00001181 ₿ 0.00001817 ₿ 0.00003027 ₿ 0.00005540 ₿ 0.00012480
2026-09-13 ₿ 0.00000565 ₿ 0.00000797 ₿ 0.00001162 ₿ 0.00001822 ₿ 0.00003116 ₿ 0.00005928 ₿ 0.00014294
2026-09-20 ₿ 0.00000544 ₿ 0.00000777 ₿ 0.00001148 ₿ 0.00001835 ₿ 0.00003223 ₿ 0.00006386 ₿ 0.00016598
2026-09-27 ₿ 0.00000519 ₿ 0.00000747 ₿ 0.00001115 ₿ 0.00001808 ₿ 0.00003245 ₿ 0.00006646 ₿ 0.00018395
2026-10-04 ₿ 0.00000503 ₿ 0.00000732 ₿ 0.00001107 ₿ 0.00001827 ₿ 0.00003368 ₿ 0.00007191 ₿ 0.00021629
2026-10-11 ₿ 0.00000486 ₿ 0.00000713 ₿ 0.00001089 ₿ 0.00001827 ₿ 0.00003448 ₿ 0.00007644 ₿ 0.00024862
2026-10-18 ₿ 0.00000473 ₿ 0.00000700 ₿ 0.00001082 ₿ 0.00001845 ₿ 0.00003572 ₿ 0.00008261 ₿ 0.00029438
2026-10-25 ₿ 0.00000456 ₿ 0.00000681 ₿ 0.00001062 ₿ 0.00001837 ₿ 0.00003635 ₿ 0.00008713 ₿ 0.00033693
2026-11-01 ₿ 0.00000442 ₿ 0.00000665 ₿ 0.00001047 ₿ 0.00001837 ₿ 0.00003716 ₿ 0.00009251 ₿ 0.00039135
2026-11-08 ₿ 0.00000430 ₿ 0.00000650 ₿ 0.00001034 ₿ 0.00001839 ₿ 0.00003803 ₿ 0.00009840 ₿ 0.00045811
2026-11-15 ₿ 0.00000416 ₿ 0.00000633 ₿ 0.00001016 ₿ 0.00001829 ₿ 0.00003856 ₿ 0.00010330 ₿ 0.00052667
2026-11-22 ₿ 0.00000403 ₿ 0.00000618 ₿ 0.00000998 ₿ 0.00001818 ₿ 0.00003906 ₿ 0.00010831 ₿ 0.00060669