SOL/ETH Asset Valuation

LAST UPDATE: 2026-06-12 02:16 UTC | 23-WEEK HORIZON

68% Bear Target

Ξ 0.022773

23-Week Base Target

Ξ 0.041104

68% Bull Target

Ξ 0.064731

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

This analysis provides a projection of SOL's valuation against Ethereum (ETH) using a Seasonal ARIMA model combined with a Box-Cox transformation to normalize historical volatility.

  • Bear Case: The lower bound of the confidence interval, representing a pessimistic rotation out of the asset and into ETH.
  • Base Case: The mathematical mean trajectory projected by the algorithm.
  • Bull Case: The upper bound of the confidence interval, representing an optimistic outperformance against ETH.

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%. This acts as a mathematical cone illustrating the probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull bounds over the next 23 weeks.

NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY.

Raw Data Matrix (ETH)

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-06-21 Ξ 0.030116 Ξ 0.032854 Ξ 0.035588 Ξ 0.038516 Ξ 0.041559 Ξ 0.044623 Ξ 0.047935
2026-06-28 Ξ 0.025541 Ξ 0.029638 Ξ 0.033845 Ξ 0.038466 Ξ 0.043380 Ξ 0.048429 Ξ 0.053993
2026-07-05 Ξ 0.022515 Ξ 0.027615 Ξ 0.032983 Ξ 0.039004 Ξ 0.045523 Ξ 0.052329 Ξ 0.059931
2026-07-12 Ξ 0.019735 Ξ 0.025546 Ξ 0.031806 Ξ 0.038961 Ξ 0.046833 Ξ 0.055159 Ξ 0.064567
2026-07-19 Ξ 0.016668 Ξ 0.022883 Ξ 0.029748 Ξ 0.037747 Ξ 0.046685 Ξ 0.056260 Ξ 0.067193
2026-07-26 Ξ 0.014535 Ξ 0.021098 Ξ 0.028515 Ξ 0.037305 Ξ 0.047258 Ξ 0.058033 Ξ 0.070443
2026-08-02 Ξ 0.012922 Ξ 0.019786 Ξ 0.027711 Ξ 0.037247 Ξ 0.048172 Ξ 0.060105 Ξ 0.073949
2026-08-09 Ξ 0.012103 Ξ 0.019354 Ξ 0.027868 Ξ 0.038234 Ξ 0.050215 Ξ 0.063387 Ξ 0.078749
2026-08-16 Ξ 0.011282 Ξ 0.018851 Ξ 0.027889 Ξ 0.039018 Ξ 0.051987 Ξ 0.066332 Ξ 0.083144
2026-08-23 Ξ 0.010351 Ξ 0.018140 Ξ 0.027609 Ξ 0.039406 Ξ 0.053267 Ξ 0.068694 Ξ 0.086859
2026-08-30 Ξ 0.009474 Ξ 0.017435 Ξ 0.027290 Ξ 0.039708 Ξ 0.054415 Ξ 0.070878 Ξ 0.090349
2026-09-06 Ξ 0.008898 Ξ 0.017087 Ξ 0.027379 Ξ 0.040471 Ξ 0.056077 Ξ 0.073627 Ξ 0.094457
2026-09-13 Ξ 0.007622 Ξ 0.015738 Ξ 0.026203 Ξ 0.039716 Ξ 0.055992 Ξ 0.074425 Ξ 0.096423
2026-09-20 Ξ 0.006796 Ξ 0.014957 Ξ 0.025711 Ξ 0.039772 Ξ 0.056846 Ξ 0.076294 Ξ 0.099600
2026-09-27 Ξ 0.006253 Ξ 0.014542 Ξ 0.025668 Ξ 0.040361 Ξ 0.058320 Ξ 0.078868 Ξ 0.103573
2026-10-04 Ξ 0.005526 Ξ 0.013795 Ξ 0.025151 Ξ 0.040334 Ξ 0.059036 Ξ 0.080547 Ξ 0.106510
2026-10-11 Ξ 0.004449 Ξ 0.012407 Ξ 0.023716 Ξ 0.039105 Ξ 0.058269 Ξ 0.080470 Ξ 0.107407
2026-10-18 Ξ 0.003743 Ξ 0.011529 Ξ 0.022925 Ξ 0.038657 Ξ 0.058419 Ξ 0.081442 Ξ 0.109489
2026-10-25 Ξ 0.003225 Ξ 0.010908 Ξ 0.022457 Ξ 0.038600 Ξ 0.059025 Ξ 0.082935 Ξ 0.112160
2026-11-01 Ξ 0.003052 Ξ 0.010879 Ξ 0.022814 Ξ 0.039605 Ξ 0.060932 Ξ 0.085957 Ξ 0.116599
2026-11-08 Ξ 0.002837 Ξ 0.010750 Ξ 0.023017 Ξ 0.040402 Ξ 0.062576 Ξ 0.088664 Ξ 0.120666
2026-11-15 Ξ 0.002536 Ξ 0.010427 Ξ 0.022923 Ξ 0.040797 Ξ 0.063713 Ξ 0.090762 Ξ 0.124018
2026-11-22 Ξ 0.002239 Ξ 0.010077 Ξ 0.022773 Ξ 0.041104 Ξ 0.064731 Ξ 0.092712 Ξ 0.127192