Micron price forecast: what the model says

MU SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$734.49

Base Path by May 16, 2027

N/A

Bear 68%

$227.98

Bull 68%

N/A

68% Range Width

N/A

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-11-22 $279.39 $348.48 $456.27 $668.41 $1,243.08 $7,109.45 N/A
2026-11-29 $223.61 $293.17 $417.01 $735.18 $3,004.19 N/A N/A
2026-12-06 $191.78 $257.00 $380.48 $748.81 $16,289.51 N/A N/A
2026-12-13 $172.33 $234.70 $358.47 $778.52 N/A N/A N/A
2026-12-20 $160.27 $221.94 $350.59 $860.59 N/A N/A N/A
2026-12-27 $152.93 $215.84 $355.12 $1,041.57 N/A N/A N/A
2027-01-03 $144.62 $206.18 $346.97 $1,144.99 N/A N/A N/A
2027-01-10 $135.74 $193.99 $328.29 $1,118.63 N/A N/A N/A
2027-01-17 $129.27 $185.71 $318.05 $1,165.17 N/A N/A N/A
2027-01-24 $125.24 $181.72 $318.64 $1,374.15 N/A N/A N/A
2027-01-31 $119.76 $174.09 $306.68 $1,370.92 N/A N/A N/A
2027-02-07 $116.17 $169.97 $304.19 $1,556.12 N/A N/A N/A
2027-02-14 $108.55 $158.15 $280.15 $1,309.83 N/A N/A N/A
2027-02-21 $104.77 $153.99 $278.70 $1,590.30 N/A N/A N/A
2027-02-28 $100.34 $147.86 $269.45 $1,654.89 N/A N/A N/A
2027-03-07 $96.70 $143.02 $263.08 $1,805.70 N/A N/A N/A
2027-03-14 $94.11 $140.13 $262.29 $2,311.49 N/A N/A N/A
2027-03-21 $92.49 $139.11 $267.51 $4,282.60 N/A N/A N/A
2027-03-28 $90.07 $136.06 $264.85 $6,738.75 N/A N/A N/A
2027-04-04 $87.02 $131.36 $255.21 $5,932.60 N/A N/A N/A
2027-04-11 $84.66 $128.04 $250.01 $7,485.39 N/A N/A N/A
2027-04-18 $83.18 $126.53 $251.17 $141,687.61 N/A N/A N/A
2027-04-25 $80.90 $123.06 $244.24 $115,149.37 N/A N/A N/A
2027-05-02 $79.37 $121.18 $243.07 N/A N/A N/A N/A
2027-05-09 $76.00 $115.45 $228.26 $24,194.96 N/A N/A N/A
2027-05-16 $74.35 $113.54 $227.98 N/A N/A N/A N/A

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.