ICP/ETH Asset Valuation

LAST UPDATE: 2026-06-12 02:16 UTC | 23-WEEK HORIZON

68% Bear Target

Ξ 0.000784

23-Week Base Target

Ξ 0.001209

68% Bull Target

Ξ 0.002016

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

This analysis provides a projection of ICP's valuation against Ethereum (ETH) using a Seasonal ARIMA model combined with a Box-Cox transformation to normalize historical volatility.

  • Bear Case: The lower bound of the confidence interval, representing a pessimistic rotation out of the asset and into ETH.
  • Base Case: The mathematical mean trajectory projected by the algorithm.
  • Bull Case: The upper bound of the confidence interval, representing an optimistic outperformance against ETH.

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%. This acts as a mathematical cone illustrating the probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull bounds over the next 23 weeks.

NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY.

Raw Data Matrix (ETH)

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-06-21 Ξ 0.001004 Ξ 0.001087 Ξ 0.001175 Ξ 0.001275 Ξ 0.001388 Ξ 0.001511 Ξ 0.001656
2026-06-28 Ξ 0.000881 Ξ 0.000989 Ξ 0.001110 Ξ 0.001257 Ξ 0.001432 Ξ 0.001634 Ξ 0.001889
2026-07-05 Ξ 0.000819 Ξ 0.000943 Ξ 0.001088 Ξ 0.001270 Ξ 0.001495 Ξ 0.001769 Ξ 0.002132
2026-07-12 Ξ 0.000760 Ξ 0.000893 Ξ 0.001052 Ξ 0.001257 Ξ 0.001521 Ξ 0.001854 Ξ 0.002317
2026-07-19 Ξ 0.000761 Ξ 0.000912 Ξ 0.001098 Ξ 0.001348 Ξ 0.001681 Ξ 0.002119 Ξ 0.002760
2026-07-26 Ξ 0.000713 Ξ 0.000867 Ξ 0.001060 Ξ 0.001324 Ξ 0.001687 Ξ 0.002180 Ξ 0.002928
2026-08-02 Ξ 0.000686 Ξ 0.000845 Ξ 0.001049 Ξ 0.001336 Ξ 0.001739 Ξ 0.002305 Ξ 0.003198
2026-08-09 Ξ 0.000654 Ξ 0.000815 Ξ 0.001025 Ξ 0.001325 Ξ 0.001758 Ξ 0.002382 Ξ 0.003403
2026-08-16 Ξ 0.000623 Ξ 0.000785 Ξ 0.000998 Ξ 0.001309 Ξ 0.001767 Ξ 0.002444 Ξ 0.003589
2026-08-23 Ξ 0.000596 Ξ 0.000758 Ξ 0.000974 Ξ 0.001294 Ξ 0.001775 Ξ 0.002504 Ξ 0.003776
2026-08-30 Ξ 0.000577 Ξ 0.000741 Ξ 0.000963 Ξ 0.001297 Ξ 0.001809 Ξ 0.002608 Ξ 0.004047
2026-09-06 Ξ 0.000547 Ξ 0.000707 Ξ 0.000926 Ξ 0.001259 Ξ 0.001778 Ξ 0.002601 Ξ 0.004123
2026-09-13 Ξ 0.000507 Ξ 0.000659 Ξ 0.000869 Ξ 0.001191 Ξ 0.001700 Ξ 0.002521 Ξ 0.004073
2026-09-20 Ξ 0.000484 Ξ 0.000634 Ξ 0.000844 Ξ 0.001172 Ξ 0.001698 Ξ 0.002568 Ξ 0.004265
2026-09-27 Ξ 0.000472 Ξ 0.000625 Ξ 0.000841 Ξ 0.001184 Ξ 0.001747 Ξ 0.002703 Ξ 0.004647
2026-10-04 Ξ 0.000455 Ξ 0.000607 Ξ 0.000823 Ξ 0.001172 Ξ 0.001756 Ξ 0.002771 Ξ 0.004900
2026-10-11 Ξ 0.000464 Ξ 0.000626 Ξ 0.000864 Ξ 0.001255 Ξ 0.001930 Ξ 0.003156 Ξ 0.005892
2026-10-18 Ξ 0.000446 Ξ 0.000605 Ξ 0.000841 Ξ 0.001233 Ξ 0.001922 Ξ 0.003197 Ξ 0.006131
2026-10-25 Ξ 0.000436 Ξ 0.000597 Ξ 0.000837 Ξ 0.001244 Ξ 0.001970 Ξ 0.003352 Ξ 0.006665
2026-11-01 Ξ 0.000423 Ξ 0.000583 Ξ 0.000823 Ξ 0.001234 Ξ 0.001981 Ξ 0.003434 Ξ 0.007037
2026-11-08 Ξ 0.000409 Ξ 0.000567 Ξ 0.000806 Ξ 0.001220 Ξ 0.001982 Ξ 0.003495 Ξ 0.007367
2026-11-15 Ξ 0.000397 Ξ 0.000552 Ξ 0.000790 Ξ 0.001206 Ξ 0.001983 Ξ 0.003557 Ξ 0.007709
2026-11-22 Ξ 0.000388 Ξ 0.000544 Ξ 0.000784 Ξ 0.001209 Ξ 0.002016 Ξ 0.003690 Ξ 0.008281