68% Bear Case

$965.82

23-Week Base Target

$1,777.57

68% Bull Case

$2,879.33

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation.

  • Bear Case: The lower bound of the confidence interval, representing a pessimistic scenario.
  • Base Case: The average forecasted trajectory.
  • Bull Case: The upper bound of the confidence interval, representing an optimistic scenario.

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%. This acts as a mathematical cone illustrating the probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull bounds over the next 23 weeks.

Raw Data Matrix (USD)

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-06-14 1342.62 1479.42 1617.59 1767.27 1924.52 2084.51 2259.29
2026-06-21 1141.29 1346.24 1560.80 1800.82 2060.51 2331.81 2635.48
2026-06-28 1000.00 1246.57 1512.12 1816.45 2152.85 2510.83 2918.18
2026-07-05 885.76 1160.82 1464.59 1820.00 2219.85 2651.74 3149.57
2026-07-12 786.54 1081.53 1415.11 1812.82 2267.31 2764.57 3344.08
2026-07-19 681.72 986.62 1340.01 1769.43 2267.78 2819.80 3469.85
2026-07-26 610.56 926.08 1299.98 1761.90 2305.03 2912.90 3634.85
2026-08-02 540.69 861.66 1250.82 1739.67 2321.86 2979.98 3767.95
2026-08-09 502.10 833.78 1243.55 1765.11 2392.53 3107.21 3968.17
2026-08-16 459.88 798.01 1224.01 1773.65 2441.53 3208.09 4137.14
2026-08-23 405.70 742.31 1176.38 1745.20 2444.31 3253.51 4240.80
2026-08-30 359.39 693.93 1135.41 1722.72 2452.35 3303.56 4348.47
2026-09-06 354.44 704.67 1172.58 1799.96 2583.70 3501.71 4632.13
2026-09-13 333.09 690.26 1175.75 1833.77 2662.01 3637.38 4843.41
2026-09-20 307.08 666.97 1165.66 1849.57 2717.35 3745.18 5021.65
2026-09-27 279.12 638.54 1147.05 1853.15 2756.64 3833.11 5175.96
2026-10-04 250.09 606.04 1121.16 1845.89 2781.40 3902.80 5308.09
2026-10-11 212.64 556.51 1068.98 1802.06 2758.63 3913.85 5369.56
2026-10-18 189.05 527.81 1044.93 1794.45 2780.74 3978.69 5494.60
2026-10-25 163.70 493.42 1010.87 1771.98 2782.84 4018.27 5588.74
2026-11-01 152.52 483.60 1012.51 1797.69 2846.52 4133.25 5773.44
2026-11-08 138.17 466.39 1002.18 1806.31 2887.68 4220.18 5924.15
2026-11-15 116.90 433.18 965.82 1777.57 2879.33 4245.17 5999.38