Cipher Mining price forecast: what the model says

CIFR SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$6.92

Base Path by May 16, 2027

$6.85

Bear 68%

$3.28

Bull 68%

$13.81

68% Range Width

153.7%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-11-22 $4.76 $5.44 $6.19 $7.05 $8.03 $9.09 $10.34
2026-11-29 $3.92 $4.79 $5.79 $7.02 $8.49 $10.18 $12.27
2026-12-06 $3.52 $4.52 $5.71 $7.23 $9.13 $11.40 $14.33
2026-12-13 $3.21 $4.29 $5.63 $7.41 $9.70 $12.54 $16.31
2026-12-20 $2.93 $4.06 $5.51 $7.50 $10.13 $13.49 $18.06
2026-12-27 $2.76 $3.95 $5.53 $7.74 $10.76 $14.70 $20.21
2027-01-03 $2.51 $3.71 $5.34 $7.70 $10.98 $15.38 $21.67
2027-01-10 $2.17 $3.31 $4.90 $7.25 $10.63 $15.24 $21.99
2027-01-17 $1.97 $3.08 $4.68 $7.11 $10.67 $15.64 $23.05
2027-01-24 $1.81 $2.92 $4.54 $7.06 $10.83 $16.20 $24.35
2027-01-31 $1.68 $2.77 $4.42 $7.02 $10.99 $16.75 $25.66
2027-02-07 $1.53 $2.60 $4.23 $6.88 $10.99 $17.07 $26.63
2027-02-14 $1.45 $2.52 $4.19 $6.95 $11.33 $17.92 $28.46
2027-02-21 $1.35 $2.40 $4.09 $6.94 $11.53 $18.56 $29.98
2027-02-28 $1.31 $2.38 $4.14 $7.14 $12.08 $19.76 $32.42
2027-03-07 $1.26 $2.35 $4.16 $7.33 $12.60 $20.93 $34.86
2027-03-14 $1.20 $2.29 $4.13 $7.41 $12.96 $21.85 $36.93
2027-03-21 $1.17 $2.28 $4.20 $7.65 $13.59 $23.24 $39.80
2027-03-28 $1.10 $2.19 $4.10 $7.60 $13.74 $23.83 $41.40
2027-04-04 $0.9706 $1.98 $3.79 $7.17 $13.19 $23.26 $41.05
2027-04-11 $0.8971 $1.87 $3.65 $7.03 $13.14 $23.51 $42.08
2027-04-18 $0.8428 $1.79 $3.56 $6.98 $13.25 $24.03 $43.58
2027-04-25 $0.7930 $1.72 $3.48 $6.93 $13.37 $24.56 $45.11
2027-05-02 $0.7349 $1.63 $3.35 $6.80 $13.30 $24.78 $46.09
2027-05-09 $0.7045 $1.59 $3.34 $6.87 $13.64 $25.74 $48.46
2027-05-16 $0.6652 $1.54 $3.28 $6.85 $13.81 $26.40 $50.33

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.