Stacks against its 20-week moving average: risk level

STX4847 Risk Matrix

$0.3240 | Risk: 0.42

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-11-09 16:54 UTC

📈 STX4847 Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $-0.0324
Level 0.05 $0.009972
Level 0.10 $0.0523
Level 0.15 $0.0946
Level 0.20 $0.1369
Level 0.25 $0.1793
Level 0.30 $0.2216
Level 0.35 $0.2639
Level 0.40 $0.3062
Level 0.45 $0.3486
Level 0.50 $0.3909
Level 0.55 $0.4332
Level 0.60 $0.4755
Level 0.65 $0.5179
Level 0.70 $0.5602
Level 0.75 $0.6025
Level 0.80 $0.6448
Level 0.85 $0.6871
Level 0.90 $0.7295
Level 0.95 $0.7718
Level 1.00 $0.8141

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes STX4847's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what STX4847's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.