RON14101 Risk Matrix

$0.0534 | Risk: 0.32

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-09-18 23:55 UTC

📈 RON14101 Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $-0.0275
Level 0.05 $-0.0147
Level 0.10 $-0.0018
Level 0.15 $0.0110
Level 0.20 $0.0238
Level 0.25 $0.0366
Level 0.30 $0.0494
Level 0.35 $0.0623
Level 0.40 $0.0751
Level 0.45 $0.0879
Level 0.50 $0.1007
Level 0.55 $0.1135
Level 0.60 $0.1264
Level 0.65 $0.1392
Level 0.70 $0.1520
Level 0.75 $0.1648
Level 0.80 $0.1776
Level 0.85 $0.1905
Level 0.90 $0.2033
Level 0.95 $0.2161
Level 1.00 $0.2289

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes RON14101's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what RON14101's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.