CryptoWeeklies / Reports / XRP
XRP (XRP) research
Every model we publish for XRP — valuation, risk and forecast — regenerated daily from market data. Free, no account.
XRP key levels today
The headline figure from each of XRP's reports, as published today. Each comes from the report linked beside it.
| Lifetime TWAP | $0.85 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| Gravity Risk (0-100) | 21.4 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| 200-week moving average | $1.28 | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Regression floor | $1.38 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Regression fair value | $2.49 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Regression ceiling | $6.18 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Moving-average risk score | 25.1% | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| 20-week SMA risk level (0-1) | 0.22 | 20-Week SMA Risk |
| Log regression deviation | -55.44% | Log Regression Fair Value |
| Forecast base target | $1.18 (68% range $0.54 to $3.37) | Price Forecast |
| Base scenario value by 2040 | $7.00 | Retirement CAGR Model |
Is XRP overvalued right now?
XRP trades 30% above its lifetime Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP), with a Gravity Risk score of 21.4/100.
Where is XRP against its 200-week moving average?
XRP is 14.7% below its 200-week moving average of $1.28, at $1.09. Macro risk score 25.1%.
What is XRP's 20-week moving-average risk level?
XRP at $1.09 sits at risk level 0.22 on a 0-1 scale against its 20-week moving average.
Where is XRP against its DCA fair value?
XRP sits 56% below its regression fair value of $2.49.
Is XRP above or below its log regression fair value?
XRP is 55% below its log regression fair value.
Is XRP in accumulation or euphoria on the rainbow chart?
Where XRP sits between accumulation and euphoria, on rainbow bands.
What does the model forecast for the XRP price?
XRP model base target $1.18, with a 68% range of $0.54 to $3.37.
How much XRP do you need to retire?
In the base scenario (25% in growth years, with a drawdown every four years), XRP reaches $7.00 by 2040. A scenario, not a forecast.
XRP against other assets
- 200-Week Moving Average Risk — Composite SMA Risk, BTC pair
- Price Forecast — Price Forecast And Analysis, BTC pair
- TWAP / Gravity Risk — Gravity Analysis, BTC pair
- TWAP / Gravity Risk — Twap Gravity, BTC pair
- Valuation Bands — Valuation Bands, BTC pair
- 200-Week Moving Average Risk — Composite SMA Risk, ETH pair
- Price Forecast — Price Forecast And Analysis, ETH pair
- TWAP / Gravity Risk — Gravity Analysis, ETH pair
- TWAP / Gravity Risk — Twap Gravity, ETH pair
- Valuation Bands — Valuation Bands, ETH pair
How does XRP's reading today compare with its own history?
Across 120 weekly readings from 2024-07-14 to 2026-11-09, XRP's premium to its lifetime TWAP ranged from 4% below to 445% above, with a median of 137% above. Today it is 30% above. Against its regression fair value it ranged from 64% below to 234% above over 120 weeks from 2024-07-07 to 2026-11-09, with a median of 33% below; today it is 56% below.
How does XRP's Gravity Risk compare with other crypto assets?
XRP's Gravity Risk of 21.4 is the 4th highest of the 84 crypto assets we track, against a median of 2.0. The lowest reading today, 0, is shared by Cosmos, Axie Infinity, Flow, Flare, Ampleforth, Loopring, Mantra, Ronin and Theta Network, and the highest is Tron at 57.1. By premium to its lifetime TWAP, 30% above, it is the 6th highest of the 84, against a median of 75% below.
XRP's track record
Every weekly DCA reading published for XRP since mid-2024, set beside the price 13 and 26 weeks later: see the receipts.