CryptoWeeklies / Reports / XLM
Stellar (XLM) research
Every model we publish for Stellar — valuation, risk and forecast — regenerated daily from market data. Free, no account.
Stellar key levels today
The headline figure from each of Stellar's reports, as published today. Each comes from the report linked beside it.
| Lifetime TWAP | $0.19 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| Gravity Risk (0-100) | 17.7 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| 200-week moving average | $0.19 | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Regression floor | $0.13 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Regression fair value | $0.26 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Regression ceiling | $0.68 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Moving-average risk score | 28.1% | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| 20-week SMA risk level (0-1) | 0.20 | 20-Week SMA Risk |
| Log regression deviation | -41.38% | Log Regression Fair Value |
| Forecast base target | $0.16 (68% range $0.079 to $0.33) | Price Forecast |
Is Stellar overvalued right now?
Stellar trades 22% below its lifetime Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP), with a Gravity Risk score of 17.7/100.
Where is Stellar against its 200-week moving average?
Stellar is 22.3% below its 200-week moving average of $0.19, at $0.15. Macro risk score 28.1%.
What is Stellar's 20-week moving-average risk level?
Stellar at $0.15 sits at risk level 0.20 on a 0-1 scale against its 20-week moving average.
Where is Stellar against its DCA fair value?
Stellar sits 42% below its regression fair value of $0.26.
Is Stellar above or below its log regression fair value?
Stellar is 41% below its log regression fair value.
Is Stellar in accumulation or euphoria on the rainbow chart?
Where Stellar sits between accumulation and euphoria, on rainbow bands.
What does the model forecast for the Stellar price?
Stellar model base target $0.16, with a 68% range of $0.079 to $0.33.
Stellar against other assets
How does Stellar's reading today compare with its own history?
Across 120 weekly readings from 2024-07-14 to 2026-11-09, Stellar's premium to its lifetime TWAP ranged from 48% below to 225% above, with a median of 17% above. Today it is 22% below. Against its regression fair value it ranged from 66% below to 333% above over 120 weeks from 2024-07-07 to 2026-11-09, with a median of 29% below; today it is 42% below.
How does Stellar's Gravity Risk compare with other crypto assets?
Stellar's Gravity Risk of 17.7 is the 8th highest of the 84 crypto assets we track, against a median of 2.0. The lowest reading today, 0, is shared by Cosmos, Axie Infinity, Flow, Flare, Ampleforth, Loopring, Mantra, Ronin and Theta Network, and the highest is Tron at 57.1. By premium to its lifetime TWAP, 22% below, it is the 16th highest of the 84, against a median of 75% below.
Stellar's track record
Every weekly DCA reading published for Stellar since mid-2024, set beside the price 13 and 26 weeks later: see the receipts.