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Meta Platforms (META) research
Every model we publish for Meta Platforms — valuation, risk and forecast — regenerated daily from market data. Free, no account.
Meta Platforms key levels today
The headline figure from each of Meta Platforms's reports, as published today. Each comes from the report linked beside it.
| 200-week TWAP | $513.40 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| Gravity Risk (0-100) | 47.9 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| 200-week moving average | $515.15 | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Accumulation line (-1σ) | $753.32 | Valuation Bands |
| Valuation-band fair value | $928.82 | Valuation Bands |
| Distribution line (+1σ) | $1,145.21 | Valuation Bands |
| Detected market phase | Deep Capitulation (-2σ) | Valuation Bands |
| Moving-average risk score | 55.7% | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Forecast base target | $685.32 (68% range $533.55 to $867.48) | Price Forecast |
Is Meta Platforms overvalued right now?
Meta Platforms trades 25% above its 200-week Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP), with a Gravity Risk score of 47.9/100.
Where is Meta Platforms against its 200-week moving average?
Meta Platforms is 24.7% above its 200-week moving average of $515.15, at $642.18. Macro risk score 55.7%.
What are Meta Platforms's fair value, floor and ceiling?
Meta Platforms fair value $928.82; the phase detector reads Deep Capitulation (-2σ), 20.6% through the phase.
What does the model forecast for the Meta Platforms price?
Meta Platforms model base target $685.32 by May 16, 2027, with a 68% range of $533.55 to $867.48.
How does Meta Platforms's reading today compare with its own history?
Across the 45 daily readings published from 2026-09-04 to 2026-11-09, Meta Platforms's moving-average risk score ranged from 45.6 to 87 (55.7 today) and its phase completion ranged from 15.7% to 33.7% (20.6% today).
How does Meta Platforms's Gravity Risk compare with other AI infrastructure stocks?
Meta Platforms's Gravity Risk of 47.9 is the 10th highest of the 32 AI infrastructure stocks we track, against a median of 31.4. The lowest reading today is CoreWeave at 0 and the highest is Riskified at 98.3. By premium to its 200-week TWAP, 25% above, it is the 11th lowest of the 32, against a median of 40% above.