Meta Platforms price forecast: what the model says

META SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$642.18

Base Path by May 16, 2027

$685.32

Bear 68%

$533.55

Bull 68%

$867.48

68% Range Width

48.7%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-11-22 $573.06 $596.42 $619.46 $643.88 $669.03 $694.14 $721.10
2026-11-29 $532.05 $567.71 $603.54 $642.19 $682.67 $723.78 $768.65
2026-12-06 $508.54 $552.39 $597.00 $645.74 $697.40 $750.48 $809.06
2026-12-13 $489.72 $539.95 $591.62 $648.64 $709.70 $773.01 $843.54
2026-12-20 $478.22 $534.15 $592.22 $656.86 $726.66 $799.64 $881.55
2026-12-27 $466.46 $527.21 $590.82 $662.19 $739.87 $821.65 $914.07
2027-01-03 $457.01 $522.16 $590.90 $668.60 $753.74 $843.96 $946.55
2027-01-10 $445.65 $514.48 $587.63 $670.88 $762.71 $860.61 $972.57
2027-01-17 $429.61 $501.07 $577.59 $665.26 $762.57 $866.94 $986.97
2027-01-24 $418.03 $492.23 $572.22 $664.45 $767.43 $878.46 $1,006.81
2027-01-31 $407.54 $484.29 $567.55 $664.11 $772.54 $890.04 $1,026.53
2027-02-07 $401.07 $480.63 $567.46 $668.71 $782.97 $907.39 $1,052.53
2027-02-14 $388.89 $470.39 $559.92 $664.94 $784.12 $914.56 $1,067.44
2027-02-21 $378.76 $462.27 $554.58 $663.50 $787.76 $924.41 $1,085.30
2027-02-28 $372.44 $458.34 $553.85 $667.12 $796.99 $940.43 $1,110.01
2027-03-07 $366.11 $454.19 $552.69 $670.10 $805.35 $955.36 $1,133.41
2027-03-14 $363.51 $454.30 $556.33 $678.52 $819.86 $977.24 $1,164.69
2027-03-21 $359.31 $452.37 $557.50 $683.98 $830.92 $995.14 $1,191.42
2027-03-28 $356.01 $451.40 $559.69 $690.55 $843.18 $1,014.38 $1,219.68
2027-04-04 $350.37 $447.51 $558.35 $692.89 $850.46 $1,027.86 $1,241.30
2027-04-11 $340.20 $438.01 $550.23 $687.12 $848.17 $1,030.20 $1,250.02
2027-04-18 $333.26 $432.25 $546.41 $686.30 $851.54 $1,038.99 $1,266.11
2027-04-25 $326.85 $427.01 $543.09 $685.95 $855.38 $1,048.26 $1,282.70
2027-05-02 $323.53 $425.43 $544.07 $690.66 $865.13 $1,064.37 $1,307.24
2027-05-09 $315.22 $417.76 $537.79 $686.80 $864.90 $1,069.06 $1,318.77
2027-05-16 $308.41 $411.85 $533.55 $685.32 $867.48 $1,077.02 $1,334.15

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.