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iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) research
Every model we publish for iShares Bitcoin Trust — valuation, risk and forecast — regenerated daily from market data. Free, no account.
iShares Bitcoin Trust key levels today
The headline figure from each of iShares Bitcoin Trust's reports, as published today. Each comes from the report linked beside it.
| Lifetime TWAP | $46.14 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| Gravity Risk (0-100) | 21.0 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| 200-week moving average | $46.04 | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Accumulation line (-1σ) | $30.64 | Valuation Bands |
| Valuation-band fair value | $34.84 | Valuation Bands |
| Distribution line (+1σ) | $39.61 | Valuation Bands |
| Detected market phase | Extreme Bubble (+2σ) | Valuation Bands |
| Moving-average risk score | 41.4% | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Forecast base target | $41.96 (68% range $27.13 to $61.37) | Price Forecast |
Is iShares Bitcoin Trust overvalued right now?
iShares Bitcoin Trust trades 8% below its lifetime Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP), with a Gravity Risk score of 21.0/100.
Where is iShares Bitcoin Trust against its 200-week moving average?
iShares Bitcoin Trust is 8.1% below its 200-week moving average of $46.04, at $42.31. Macro risk score 41.4%.
What are iShares Bitcoin Trust's fair value, floor and ceiling?
iShares Bitcoin Trust fair value $34.84; the phase detector reads Extreme Bubble (+2σ), 75.2% through the phase.
What does the model forecast for the iShares Bitcoin Trust price?
iShares Bitcoin Trust model base target $41.96 by May 16, 2027, with a 68% range of $27.13 to $61.37.
How does iShares Bitcoin Trust's reading today compare with its own history?
Across the 43 daily readings published from 2026-09-04 to 2026-11-09, iShares Bitcoin Trust's moving-average risk score ranged from 41.4 to 63.5 (41.4 today) and its phase completion ranged from 75.2% to 99.2% (75.2% today).
How does iShares Bitcoin Trust's Gravity Risk compare with other Bitcoin-linked stocks and funds?
iShares Bitcoin Trust's Gravity Risk of 21 is the 8th highest of the 18 Bitcoin-linked stocks and funds we track, against a median of 16.9. The lowest reading today is Argo Blockchain at 0 and the highest is TeraWulf at 42.1. By premium to its lifetime TWAP, 8% below, it is the 9th lowest of the 18, against a median of 8% below.