MANA Risk Matrix

$0.0788 | Risk: 0.33

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-09-18 23:55 UTC

📈 MANA Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $-0.0389
Level 0.05 $-0.0208
Level 0.10 $-0.0028
Level 0.15 $0.0152
Level 0.20 $0.0333
Level 0.25 $0.0513
Level 0.30 $0.0693
Level 0.35 $0.0874
Level 0.40 $0.1054
Level 0.45 $0.1234
Level 0.50 $0.1415
Level 0.55 $0.1595
Level 0.60 $0.1775
Level 0.65 $0.1956
Level 0.70 $0.2136
Level 0.75 $0.2316
Level 0.80 $0.2497
Level 0.85 $0.2677
Level 0.90 $0.2857
Level 0.95 $0.3037
Level 1.00 $0.3218

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes MANA's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what MANA's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.