Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-06-14 0.044760 0.051258 0.058400 0.066837 0.076540 0.087358 0.100346
2026-06-21 0.034883 0.043794 0.054547 0.068506 0.086186 0.107888 0.136637
2026-06-28 0.029403 0.039354 0.052171 0.069946 0.094047 0.125720 0.170725
2026-07-05 0.025434 0.035846 0.049982 0.070666 0.100312 0.141509 0.203517
2026-07-12 0.021940 0.032314 0.047048 0.069621 0.103559 0.153047 0.231348
2026-07-19 0.018835 0.028838 0.043621 0.067210 0.104210 0.160522 0.253683
2026-07-26 0.017139 0.027197 0.042617 0.068169 0.109855 0.175881 0.289755
2026-08-02 0.015557 0.025511 0.041293 0.068369 0.114175 0.189450 0.324385
2026-08-09 0.014299 0.024178 0.040340 0.068986 0.119126 0.204430 0.363017
2026-08-16 0.012862 0.022370 0.038386 0.067639 0.120487 0.213340 0.391917
2026-08-23 0.011619 0.020754 0.036569 0.066286 0.121605 0.221815 0.420862
2026-08-30 0.010810 0.019812 0.035814 0.066727 0.125966 0.236517 0.463123
2026-09-06 0.010379 0.019526 0.036234 0.069429 0.134962 0.261045 0.527980
2026-09-13 0.009851 0.019006 0.036167 0.071203 0.142383 0.283425 0.591535
2026-09-20 0.009340 0.018459 0.035982 0.072703 0.149391 0.305723 0.657720
2026-09-27 0.008791 0.017778 0.035462 0.073452 0.154915 0.325560 0.721111
2026-10-04 0.008103 0.016743 0.034129 0.072365 0.156422 0.337083 0.767529
2026-10-11 0.007345 0.015490 0.032226 0.069856 0.154552 0.341073 0.797231
2026-10-18 0.006986 0.015041 0.031954 0.070853 0.160547 0.363077 0.871881
2026-10-25 0.006588 0.014469 0.031359 0.071062 0.164758 0.381475 0.940204
2026-11-01 0.006259 0.014014 0.030975 0.071703 0.170031 0.402898 1.018759
2026-11-08 0.005800 0.013224 0.029770 0.070302 0.170269 0.412332 1.068056
2026-11-15 0.005380 0.012485 0.028612 0.068895 0.170332 0.421331 1.117384