LINK Risk Matrix

$12.2280 | Risk: 0.52

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-09-18 23:53 UTC

📈 LINK Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $2.8187
Level 0.05 $3.7306
Level 0.10 $4.6426
Level 0.15 $5.5545
Level 0.20 $6.4664
Level 0.25 $7.3783
Level 0.30 $8.2902
Level 0.35 $9.2021
Level 0.40 $10.1140
Level 0.45 $11.0260
Level 0.50 $11.9379
Level 0.55 $12.8498
Level 0.60 $13.7617
Level 0.65 $14.6736
Level 0.70 $15.5855
Level 0.75 $16.4975
Level 0.80 $17.4094
Level 0.85 $18.3213
Level 0.90 $19.2332
Level 0.95 $20.1451
Level 1.00 $21.0570

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes LINK's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what LINK's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.