LINK/ETH Asset Valuation

LAST UPDATE: 2026-06-12 02:16 UTC | 23-WEEK HORIZON

68% Bear Target

Ξ 0.002726

23-Week Base Target

Ξ 0.004978

68% Bull Target

Ξ 0.008529

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

This analysis provides a projection of LINK's valuation against Ethereum (ETH) using a Seasonal ARIMA model combined with a Box-Cox transformation to normalize historical volatility.

  • Bear Case: The lower bound of the confidence interval, representing a pessimistic rotation out of the asset and into ETH.
  • Base Case: The mathematical mean trajectory projected by the algorithm.
  • Bull Case: The upper bound of the confidence interval, representing an optimistic outperformance against ETH.

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%. This acts as a mathematical cone illustrating the probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull bounds over the next 23 weeks.

NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY.

Raw Data Matrix (ETH)

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-06-21 Ξ 0.003498 Ξ 0.003868 Ξ 0.004251 Ξ 0.004676 Ξ 0.005136 Ξ 0.005616 Ξ 0.006155
2026-06-28 Ξ 0.002882 Ξ 0.003404 Ξ 0.003972 Ξ 0.004634 Ξ 0.005383 Ξ 0.006200 Ξ 0.007156
2026-07-05 Ξ 0.002477 Ξ 0.003074 Ξ 0.003750 Ξ 0.004566 Ξ 0.005520 Ξ 0.006592 Ξ 0.007884
2026-07-12 Ξ 0.002230 Ξ 0.002886 Ξ 0.003652 Ξ 0.004603 Ξ 0.005744 Ξ 0.007059 Ξ 0.008680
2026-07-19 Ξ 0.001999 Ξ 0.002688 Ξ 0.003516 Ξ 0.004571 Ξ 0.005867 Ξ 0.007393 Ξ 0.009311
2026-07-26 Ξ 0.001844 Ξ 0.002566 Ξ 0.003456 Ξ 0.004617 Ξ 0.006072 Ξ 0.007817 Ξ 0.010047
2026-08-02 Ξ 0.001738 Ξ 0.002495 Ξ 0.003449 Ξ 0.004719 Ξ 0.006340 Ξ 0.008316 Ξ 0.010877
2026-08-09 Ξ 0.001627 Ξ 0.002407 Ξ 0.003412 Ξ 0.004775 Ξ 0.006546 Ξ 0.008736 Ξ 0.011615
2026-08-16 Ξ 0.001545 Ξ 0.002350 Ξ 0.003409 Ξ 0.004870 Ξ 0.006798 Ξ 0.009215 Ξ 0.012430
2026-08-23 Ξ 0.001458 Ξ 0.002280 Ξ 0.003383 Ξ 0.004930 Ξ 0.007001 Ξ 0.009632 Ξ 0.013171
2026-08-30 Ξ 0.001337 Ξ 0.002152 Ξ 0.003269 Ξ 0.004864 Ξ 0.007034 Ξ 0.009826 Ξ 0.013627
2026-09-06 Ξ 0.001248 Ξ 0.002064 Ξ 0.003205 Ξ 0.004861 Ξ 0.007145 Ξ 0.010120 Ξ 0.014213
2026-09-13 Ξ 0.001138 Ξ 0.001942 Ξ 0.003089 Ξ 0.004786 Ξ 0.007161 Ξ 0.010297 Ξ 0.014660
2026-09-20 Ξ 0.001048 Ξ 0.001843 Ξ 0.003001 Ξ 0.004743 Ξ 0.007220 Ξ 0.010529 Ξ 0.015185
2026-09-27 Ξ 0.000959 Ξ 0.001738 Ξ 0.002898 Ξ 0.004674 Ξ 0.007236 Ξ 0.010700 Ξ 0.015627
2026-10-04 Ξ 0.000906 Ξ 0.001687 Ξ 0.002871 Ξ 0.004711 Ξ 0.007399 Ξ 0.011073 Ξ 0.016344
2026-10-11 Ξ 0.000840 Ξ 0.001610 Ξ 0.002799 Ξ 0.004678 Ξ 0.007460 Ξ 0.011302 Ξ 0.016868
2026-10-18 Ξ 0.000799 Ξ 0.001570 Ξ 0.002783 Ξ 0.004725 Ξ 0.007634 Ξ 0.011692 Ξ 0.017616
2026-10-25 Ξ 0.000774 Ξ 0.001555 Ξ 0.002804 Ξ 0.004829 Ξ 0.007893 Ξ 0.012202 Ξ 0.018538
2026-11-01 Ξ 0.000740 Ξ 0.001523 Ξ 0.002796 Ξ 0.004887 Ξ 0.008083 Ξ 0.012618 Ξ 0.019335
2026-11-08 Ξ 0.000716 Ξ 0.001508 Ξ 0.002814 Ξ 0.004984 Ξ 0.008333 Ξ 0.013122 Ξ 0.020261
2026-11-15 Ξ 0.000687 Ξ 0.001480 Ξ 0.002809 Ξ 0.005044 Ξ 0.008529 Ξ 0.013550 Ξ 0.021085
2026-11-22 Ξ 0.000635 Ξ 0.001407 Ξ 0.002726 Ξ 0.004978 Ξ 0.008529 Ξ 0.013694 Ξ 0.021507