LINK/BTC Asset Valuation

LAST UPDATE: 2026-06-12 02:17 UTC | 23-WEEK HORIZON

68% Bear Target

₿ 0.00006565

23-Week Base Target

₿ 0.00014069

68% Bull Target

₿ 0.00026514

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

This analysis provides a projection of LINK's valuation against Bitcoin (BTC) using a Seasonal ARIMA model combined with a Box-Cox transformation to normalize historical volatility.

  • Bear Case: The lower bound of the confidence interval, representing a pessimistic rotation out of the asset and into BTC.
  • Base Case: The mathematical mean trajectory projected by the algorithm.
  • Bull Case: The upper bound of the confidence interval, representing an optimistic outperformance against BTC.

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%. This acts as a mathematical cone illustrating the probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull bounds over the next 23 weeks.

NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY.

Raw Data Matrix (BTC)

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-06-21 ₿ 0.00008709 ₿ 0.00009892 ₿ 0.00011133 ₿ 0.00012526 ₿ 0.00014043 ₿ 0.00015641 ₿ 0.00017448
2026-06-28 ₿ 0.00006731 ₿ 0.00008392 ₿ 0.00010250 ₿ 0.00012462 ₿ 0.00015006 ₿ 0.00017822 ₿ 0.00021157
2026-07-05 ₿ 0.00005459 ₿ 0.00007313 ₿ 0.00009487 ₿ 0.00012188 ₿ 0.00015415 ₿ 0.00019110 ₿ 0.00023621
2026-07-12 ₿ 0.00004800 ₿ 0.00006825 ₿ 0.00009297 ₿ 0.00012472 ₿ 0.00016380 ₿ 0.00020970 ₿ 0.00026703
2026-07-19 ₿ 0.00004150 ₿ 0.00006252 ₿ 0.00008914 ₿ 0.00012443 ₿ 0.00016905 ₿ 0.00022264 ₿ 0.00029093
2026-07-26 ₿ 0.00003680 ₿ 0.00005847 ₿ 0.00008686 ₿ 0.00012556 ₿ 0.00017563 ₿ 0.00023696 ₿ 0.00031641
2026-08-02 ₿ 0.00003449 ₿ 0.00005731 ₿ 0.00008808 ₿ 0.00013097 ₿ 0.00018752 ₿ 0.00025785 ₿ 0.00035017
2026-08-09 ₿ 0.00003152 ₿ 0.00005487 ₿ 0.00008728 ₿ 0.00013348 ₿ 0.00019554 ₿ 0.00027390 ₿ 0.00037807
2026-08-16 ₿ 0.00002943 ₿ 0.00005345 ₿ 0.00008767 ₿ 0.00013746 ₿ 0.00020542 ₿ 0.00029236 ₿ 0.00040920
2026-08-23 ₿ 0.00002700 ₿ 0.00005126 ₿ 0.00008676 ₿ 0.00013947 ₿ 0.00021260 ₿ 0.00030735 ₿ 0.00043605
2026-08-30 ₿ 0.00002328 ₿ 0.00004665 ₿ 0.00008199 ₿ 0.00013574 ₿ 0.00021174 ₿ 0.00031170 ₿ 0.00044914
2026-09-06 ₿ 0.00001975 ₿ 0.00004195 ₿ 0.00007670 ₿ 0.00013089 ₿ 0.00020902 ₿ 0.00031331 ₿ 0.00045849
2026-09-13 ₿ 0.00001747 ₿ 0.00003913 ₿ 0.00007409 ₿ 0.00012984 ₿ 0.00021157 ₿ 0.00032208 ₿ 0.00047750
2026-09-20 ₿ 0.00001554 ₿ 0.00003670 ₿ 0.00007192 ₿ 0.00012927 ₿ 0.00021470 ₿ 0.00033164 ₿ 0.00049771
2026-09-27 ₿ 0.00001340 ₿ 0.00003361 ₿ 0.00006842 ₿ 0.00012645 ₿ 0.00021441 ₿ 0.00033637 ₿ 0.00051138
2026-10-04 ₿ 0.00001254 ₿ 0.00003285 ₿ 0.00006867 ₿ 0.00012937 ₿ 0.00022248 ₿ 0.00035274 ₿ 0.00054095
2026-10-11 ₿ 0.00001121 ₿ 0.00003101 ₿ 0.00006695 ₿ 0.00012907 ₿ 0.00022572 ₿ 0.00036235 ₿ 0.00056141
2026-10-18 ₿ 0.00001026 ₿ 0.00002978 ₿ 0.00006619 ₿ 0.00013023 ₿ 0.00023110 ₿ 0.00037500 ₿ 0.00058615
2026-10-25 ₿ 0.00001003 ₿ 0.00003008 ₿ 0.00006812 ₿ 0.00013579 ₿ 0.00024322 ₿ 0.00039738 ₿ 0.00062459
2026-11-01 ₿ 0.00000939 ₿ 0.00002941 ₿ 0.00006826 ₿ 0.00013837 ₿ 0.00025082 ₿ 0.00041339 ₿ 0.00065435
2026-11-08 ₿ 0.00000900 ₿ 0.00002925 ₿ 0.00006929 ₿ 0.00014245 ₿ 0.00026080 ₿ 0.00043291 ₿ 0.00068924
2026-11-15 ₿ 0.00000839 ₿ 0.00002848 ₿ 0.00006915 ₿ 0.00014452 ₿ 0.00026765 ₿ 0.00044799 ₿ 0.00071804
2026-11-22 ₿ 0.00000715 ₿ 0.00002604 ₿ 0.00006565 ₿ 0.00014069 ₿ 0.00026514 ₿ 0.00044937 ₿ 0.00072749