68% Bear Case

$4.12

23-Week Base Target

$9.32

68% Bull Case

$17.17

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation.

  • Bear Case: The lower bound of the confidence interval, representing a pessimistic scenario.
  • Base Case: The average forecasted trajectory.
  • Bull Case: The upper bound of the confidence interval, representing an optimistic scenario.

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%. This acts as a mathematical cone illustrating the probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull bounds over the next 23 weeks.

Raw Data Matrix (USD)

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-06-14 5.65 6.51 7.39 8.37 9.42 10.52 11.73
2026-06-21 4.30 5.51 6.84 8.40 10.14 12.02 14.18
2026-06-28 3.45 4.82 6.40 8.31 10.52 12.97 15.85
2026-07-05 2.88 4.36 6.14 8.36 10.99 13.95 17.50
2026-07-12 2.42 3.97 5.89 8.36 11.36 14.80 18.97
2026-07-19 2.02 3.59 5.63 8.32 11.63 15.50 20.26
2026-07-26 1.81 3.46 5.64 8.58 12.28 16.63 22.02
2026-08-02 1.54 3.18 5.45 8.58 12.57 17.32 23.27
2026-08-09 1.42 3.12 5.53 8.91 13.27 18.51 25.10
2026-08-16 1.27 3.00 5.51 9.10 13.78 19.46 26.66
2026-08-23 1.02 2.68 5.20 8.87 13.76 19.75 27.41
2026-08-30 0.80 2.36 4.86 8.60 13.66 19.93 28.01
2026-09-06 0.71 2.27 4.85 8.78 14.15 20.85 29.54
2026-09-13 0.60 2.13 4.75 8.83 14.46 21.55 30.79
2026-09-20 0.48 1.94 4.57 8.74 14.58 22.01 31.74
2026-09-27 0.40 1.82 4.48 8.79 14.88 22.68 32.96
2026-10-04 0.32 1.70 4.38 8.80 15.12 23.28 34.09
2026-10-11 0.25 1.56 4.24 8.75 15.28 23.77 35.07
2026-10-18 0.23 1.55 4.31 9.02 15.89 24.84 36.78
2026-10-25 0.18 1.44 4.21 9.01 16.10 25.39 37.85
2026-11-01 0.16 1.45 4.33 9.36 16.80 26.58 39.72
2026-11-08 0.14 1.42 4.35 9.55 17.29 27.50 41.26
2026-11-15 0.09 1.25 4.12 9.32 17.17 27.62 41.77