FORTH Risk Matrix

$0.2900 | Risk: 0.81

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-09-18 23:55 UTC

📈 FORTH Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $-0.1365
Level 0.05 $-0.1102
Level 0.10 $-0.0839
Level 0.15 $-0.0577
Level 0.20 $-0.0314
Level 0.25 $-0.0051
Level 0.30 $0.0212
Level 0.35 $0.0474
Level 0.40 $0.0737
Level 0.45 $0.1000
Level 0.50 $0.1263
Level 0.55 $0.1525
Level 0.60 $0.1788
Level 0.65 $0.2051
Level 0.70 $0.2314
Level 0.75 $0.2576
Level 0.80 $0.2839
Level 0.85 $0.3102
Level 0.90 $0.3365
Level 0.95 $0.3627
Level 1.00 $0.3890

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes FORTH's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what FORTH's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.