ETC Risk Matrix

$8.1460 | Risk: 0.40

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-09-18 23:54 UTC

📈 ETC Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $0.7707
Level 0.05 $1.6870
Level 0.10 $2.6033
Level 0.15 $3.5196
Level 0.20 $4.4359
Level 0.25 $5.3522
Level 0.30 $6.2686
Level 0.35 $7.1849
Level 0.40 $8.1012
Level 0.45 $9.0175
Level 0.50 $9.9338
Level 0.55 $10.8501
Level 0.60 $11.7664
Level 0.65 $12.6827
Level 0.70 $13.5990
Level 0.75 $14.5154
Level 0.80 $15.4317
Level 0.85 $16.3480
Level 0.90 $17.2643
Level 0.95 $18.1806
Level 1.00 $19.0969

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes ETC's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what ETC's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.