ETC/USD Asset Valuation

LAST UPDATE: 2026-06-11 20:11 UTC | 23-WEEK HORIZON

68% Bear Target

$3.35

23-Week Base Target

$7.13

68% Bull Target

$14.63

Raw Data Matrix (USD)

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-06-21 $5.0948 $5.7817 $6.5203 $7.3726 $8.3282 $9.3659 $10.58
2026-06-28 $4.0627 $5.0122 $6.1132 $7.4809 $9.1307 $11.05 $13.46
2026-07-05 $3.4583 $4.5066 $5.7836 $7.4473 $9.5505 $12.11 $15.47
2026-07-12 $2.9835 $4.0773 $5.4678 $7.3552 $9.8390 $12.98 $17.25
2026-07-19 $2.6524 $3.7788 $5.2651 $7.3553 $10.20 $13.93 $19.15
2026-07-26 $2.3933 $3.5410 $5.1072 $7.3817 $10.58 $14.88 $21.09
2026-08-02 $2.1596 $3.3097 $4.9289 $7.3512 $10.85 $15.70 $22.87
2026-08-09 $1.9476 $3.0857 $4.7359 $7.2740 $11.04 $16.39 $24.49
2026-08-16 $1.7883 $2.9227 $4.6133 $7.2819 $11.34 $17.24 $26.38
2026-08-23 $1.6876 $2.8388 $4.5986 $7.4434 $11.87 $18.44 $28.83
2026-08-30 $1.5276 $2.6456 $4.3988 $7.3016 $11.93 $18.93 $30.22
2026-09-06 $1.3514 $2.4094 $4.1114 $6.9972 $11.70 $18.97 $30.93
2026-09-13 $1.2893 $2.3604 $4.1238 $7.1789 $12.26 $20.26 $33.66
2026-09-20 $1.2222 $2.2967 $4.1067 $7.3096 $12.74 $21.46 $36.31
2026-09-27 $1.1316 $2.1831 $3.9953 $7.2708 $12.94 $22.20 $38.25
2026-10-04 $1.0416 $2.0624 $3.8617 $7.1822 $13.04 $22.78 $39.95
2026-10-11 $0.9741 $1.9768 $3.7828 $7.1820 $13.29 $23.62 $42.12
2026-10-18 $0.9163 $1.9046 $3.7219 $7.2079 $13.59 $24.54 $44.46
2026-10-25 $0.8557 $1.8215 $3.6344 $7.1780 $13.78 $25.29 $46.54
2026-11-01 $0.7944 $1.7316 $3.5269 $7.1025 $13.88 $25.88 $48.36
2026-11-08 $0.7484 $1.6687 $3.4663 $7.1103 $14.13 $26.75 $50.71
2026-11-15 $0.7235 $1.6471 $3.4838 $7.2682 $14.67 $28.16 $54.08
2026-11-22 $0.6674 $1.5547 $3.3544 $7.1295 $14.63 $28.52 $55.56

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

This analysis provides a projection of ETC's valuation against the US Dollar (USD) using a Seasonal ARIMA model combined with a Box-Cox transformation to normalize historical volatility.

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%. This acts as a mathematical cone illustrating the probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull bounds over the next 23 weeks.

NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY.