ETC/USD Asset Valuation

LAST UPDATE: 2026-09-18 23:59 UTC | 23-WEEK HORIZON

68% Bear Target

$3.47

23-Week Base Target

$7.01

68% Bull Target

$14.00

Raw Data Matrix (USD)

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-09-27 $5.2326 $5.8871 $6.5887 $7.3963 $8.3000 $9.2800 $10.42
2026-10-04 $4.1451 $5.0364 $6.0640 $7.3354 $8.8651 $10.65 $12.87
2026-10-11 $3.5857 $4.5794 $5.7806 $7.3375 $9.3002 $11.69 $14.82
2026-10-18 $3.1801 $4.2378 $5.5687 $7.3631 $9.7165 $12.70 $16.75
2026-10-25 $2.8426 $3.9312 $5.3498 $7.3295 $10.02 $13.53 $18.48
2026-11-01 $2.5508 $3.6481 $5.1243 $7.2491 $10.22 $14.23 $20.05
2026-11-08 $2.3336 $3.4419 $4.9766 $7.2494 $10.52 $15.06 $21.81
2026-11-15 $2.1982 $3.3357 $4.9533 $7.4125 $11.05 $16.21 $24.10
2026-11-22 $1.9989 $3.1165 $4.7472 $7.2886 $11.14 $16.74 $25.50
2026-11-29 $1.7811 $2.8502 $4.4486 $6.9998 $10.96 $16.85 $26.26
2026-12-06 $1.7043 $2.7935 $4.4591 $7.1766 $11.48 $18.03 $28.72
2026-12-13 $1.6187 $2.7152 $4.4285 $7.2835 $11.90 $19.07 $31.00
2026-12-20 $1.5071 $2.5876 $4.3132 $7.2504 $12.11 $19.79 $32.83
2026-12-27 $1.3948 $2.4501 $4.1720 $7.1644 $12.21 $20.36 $34.46
2027-01-03 $1.3118 $2.3551 $4.0924 $7.1721 $12.47 $21.18 $36.53
2027-01-10 $1.2391 $2.2721 $4.0263 $7.1960 $12.75 $22.05 $38.74
2027-01-17 $1.1631 $2.1770 $3.9322 $7.1634 $12.93 $22.76 $40.69
2027-01-24 $1.0862 $2.0743 $3.8172 $7.0847 $13.02 $23.31 $42.41
2027-01-31 $1.0278 $2.0012 $3.7495 $7.0850 $13.25 $24.11 $44.60
2027-02-07 $0.9971 $1.9775 $3.7691 $7.2445 $13.78 $25.45 $47.83
2027-02-14 $0.9295 $1.8783 $3.6426 $7.1233 $13.77 $25.85 $49.35
2027-02-21 $0.8461 $1.7424 $3.4382 $6.8409 $13.45 $25.65 $49.74
2027-02-28 $0.8262 $1.7308 $3.4700 $7.0138 $14.00 $27.08 $53.29

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

This analysis provides a projection of ETC's valuation against the US Dollar (USD) using a Seasonal ARIMA model combined with a Box-Cox transformation to normalize historical volatility.

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%. This acts as a mathematical cone illustrating the probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull bounds over the next 23 weeks.

NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY.