BNB Risk Matrix

$761.1000 | Risk: 0.47

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-09-18 23:53 UTC

📈 BNB Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $447.3803
Level 0.05 $481.0210
Level 0.10 $514.6617
Level 0.15 $548.3024
Level 0.20 $581.9430
Level 0.25 $615.5837
Level 0.30 $649.2244
Level 0.35 $682.8651
Level 0.40 $716.5058
Level 0.45 $750.1465
Level 0.50 $783.7872
Level 0.55 $817.4279
Level 0.60 $851.0685
Level 0.65 $884.7092
Level 0.70 $918.3499
Level 0.75 $951.9906
Level 0.80 $985.6313
Level 0.85 $1,019.2720
Level 0.90 $1,052.9127
Level 0.95 $1,086.5534
Level 1.00 $1,120.1940

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes BNB's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what BNB's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.