BNB/ETH Asset Valuation

LAST UPDATE: 2026-06-12 02:16 UTC | 23-WEEK HORIZON

68% Bear Target

Ξ 0.300270

23-Week Base Target

Ξ 0.392464

68% Bull Target

Ξ 0.493043

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

This analysis provides a projection of BNB's valuation against Ethereum (ETH) using a Seasonal ARIMA model combined with a Box-Cox transformation to normalize historical volatility.

  • Bear Case: The lower bound of the confidence interval, representing a pessimistic rotation out of the asset and into ETH.
  • Base Case: The mathematical mean trajectory projected by the algorithm.
  • Bull Case: The upper bound of the confidence interval, representing an optimistic outperformance against ETH.

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%. This acts as a mathematical cone illustrating the probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull bounds over the next 23 weeks.

NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY.

Raw Data Matrix (ETH)

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-06-21 Ξ 0.319870 Ξ 0.332726 Ξ 0.345209 Ξ 0.358235 Ξ 0.371431 Ξ 0.384403 Ξ 0.398109
2026-06-28 Ξ 0.292812 Ξ 0.314149 Ξ 0.335083 Ξ 0.357139 Ξ 0.379686 Ξ 0.402039 Ξ 0.425848
2026-07-05 Ξ 0.274808 Ξ 0.302343 Ξ 0.329583 Ξ 0.358495 Ξ 0.388256 Ξ 0.417942 Ξ 0.449742
2026-07-12 Ξ 0.259350 Ξ 0.291728 Ξ 0.323987 Ξ 0.358444 Ξ 0.394111 Ξ 0.429867 Ξ 0.468343
2026-07-19 Ξ 0.250141 Ξ 0.286731 Ξ 0.323408 Ξ 0.362786 Ξ 0.403734 Ξ 0.444947 Ξ 0.489450
2026-07-26 Ξ 0.239666 Ξ 0.279799 Ξ 0.320262 Ξ 0.363914 Ξ 0.409499 Ξ 0.455544 Ξ 0.505422
2026-08-02 Ξ 0.230844 Ξ 0.274150 Ξ 0.318046 Ξ 0.365611 Ξ 0.415470 Ξ 0.465990 Ξ 0.520868
2026-08-09 Ξ 0.223735 Ξ 0.269967 Ξ 0.317060 Ξ 0.368294 Ξ 0.422179 Ξ 0.476932 Ξ 0.536550
2026-08-16 Ξ 0.215724 Ξ 0.264530 Ξ 0.314491 Ξ 0.369060 Ξ 0.426640 Ξ 0.485306 Ξ 0.549331
2026-08-23 Ξ 0.209442 Ξ 0.260707 Ξ 0.313424 Ξ 0.371209 Ξ 0.432362 Ξ 0.494816 Ξ 0.563113
2026-08-30 Ξ 0.206401 Ξ 0.260195 Ξ 0.315727 Ξ 0.376776 Ξ 0.441539 Ξ 0.507807 Ξ 0.580394
2026-09-06 Ξ 0.199927 Ξ 0.255793 Ξ 0.313719 Ξ 0.377616 Ξ 0.445584 Ξ 0.515284 Ξ 0.591767
2026-09-13 Ξ 0.189834 Ξ 0.247447 Ξ 0.307514 Ξ 0.374049 Ξ 0.445055 Ξ 0.518059 Ξ 0.598342
2026-09-20 Ξ 0.181685 Ξ 0.241099 Ξ 0.303370 Ξ 0.372613 Ξ 0.446734 Ξ 0.523123 Ξ 0.607290
2026-09-27 Ξ 0.176010 Ξ 0.237327 Ξ 0.301893 Ξ 0.373929 Ξ 0.451240 Ξ 0.531079 Ξ 0.619192
2026-10-04 Ξ 0.169593 Ξ 0.232585 Ξ 0.299239 Ξ 0.373864 Ξ 0.454169 Ξ 0.537269 Ξ 0.629135
2026-10-11 Ξ 0.166820 Ξ 0.231795 Ξ 0.300804 Ξ 0.378269 Ξ 0.461797 Ξ 0.548364 Ξ 0.644179
2026-10-18 Ξ 0.161831 Ξ 0.228410 Ξ 0.299436 Ξ 0.379414 Ξ 0.465849 Ξ 0.555588 Ξ 0.655053
2026-10-25 Ξ 0.157493 Ξ 0.225654 Ξ 0.298674 Ξ 0.381136 Ξ 0.470448 Ξ 0.563324 Ξ 0.666400
2026-11-01 Ξ 0.154079 Ξ 0.223854 Ξ 0.298894 Ξ 0.383858 Ξ 0.476061 Ξ 0.572080 Ξ 0.678767
2026-11-08 Ξ 0.149438 Ξ 0.220565 Ξ 0.297393 Ξ 0.384635 Ξ 0.479512 Ξ 0.578474 Ξ 0.688567
2026-11-15 Ξ 0.145975 Ξ 0.218541 Ξ 0.297230 Ξ 0.386816 Ξ 0.484423 Ξ 0.586373 Ξ 0.699912
2026-11-22 Ξ 0.145097 Ξ 0.219437 Ξ 0.300270 Ξ 0.392464 Ξ 0.493043 Ξ 0.598197 Ξ 0.715391