68% Bear Case

$448.47

23-Week Base Target

$702.04

68% Bull Case

$1,046.59

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

This analysis provides a forecast of BNB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation.

  • Bear Case: The lower bound of the confidence interval, representing a pessimistic scenario.
  • Base Case: The average forecasted trajectory.
  • Bull Case: The upper bound of the confidence interval, representing an optimistic scenario.

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%. This acts as a mathematical cone illustrating the probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull bounds over the next 23 weeks.

Raw Data Matrix (USD)

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-06-14 501.98 537.44 573.09 611.58 651.91 692.89 737.63
2026-06-21 445.22 500.71 558.43 622.80 692.39 765.21 847.01
2026-06-28 409.66 478.83 552.72 637.15 730.59 830.49 944.99
2026-07-05 377.50 456.14 542.05 642.26 755.31 878.29 1021.55
2026-07-12 352.39 438.51 534.48 648.43 779.10 923.34 1093.66
2026-07-19 322.03 412.42 515.10 639.12 783.55 945.17 1138.42
2026-07-26 301.13 395.83 505.29 639.49 797.91 977.32 1194.14
2026-08-02 280.85 378.62 493.53 636.45 807.33 1003.01 1241.87
2026-08-09 267.91 369.47 490.61 643.23 827.74 1041.08 1303.75
2026-08-16 255.59 360.32 487.04 648.62 846.05 1076.39 1362.26
2026-08-23 242.90 349.98 481.38 650.91 860.18 1106.47 1414.47
2026-08-30 229.22 337.64 472.59 648.77 868.46 1129.22 1457.76
2026-09-06 222.32 333.95 474.63 660.19 893.61 1172.70 1526.60
2026-09-13 216.15 330.90 477.29 672.28 919.61 1217.40 1597.27
2026-09-20 211.76 329.99 482.50 687.49 949.50 1266.97 1674.14
2026-09-27 203.69 323.64 480.28 692.90 966.90 1301.14 1732.32
2026-10-04 196.60 318.30 479.10 699.42 985.56 1336.83 1792.46
2026-10-11 183.69 304.23 465.77 689.58 982.93 1345.77 1819.40
2026-10-18 175.39 296.33 460.42 689.98 993.23 1370.73 1866.17
2026-10-25 166.30 286.89 452.61 686.76 998.59 1389.30 1904.90
2026-11-01 161.35 283.28 452.64 693.92 1017.41 1424.90 1965.06
2026-11-08 156.17 279.09 451.69 699.62 1034.22 1457.96 2022.14
2026-11-15 150.20 273.46 448.47 702.04 1046.59 1485.29 2072.05