BNB/BTC Asset Valuation

LAST UPDATE: 2026-06-12 02:17 UTC | 23-WEEK HORIZON

68% Bear Target

₿ 0.00741448

23-Week Base Target

₿ 0.01043014

68% Bull Target

₿ 0.01391658

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

This analysis provides a projection of BNB's valuation against Bitcoin (BTC) using a Seasonal ARIMA model combined with a Box-Cox transformation to normalize historical volatility.

  • Bear Case: The lower bound of the confidence interval, representing a pessimistic rotation out of the asset and into BTC.
  • Base Case: The mathematical mean trajectory projected by the algorithm.
  • Bull Case: The upper bound of the confidence interval, representing an optimistic outperformance against BTC.

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%. This acts as a mathematical cone illustrating the probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull bounds over the next 23 weeks.

NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY.

Raw Data Matrix (BTC)

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-06-21 ₿ 0.00812597 ₿ 0.00857919 ₿ 0.00902408 ₿ 0.00949320 ₿ 0.00997333 ₿ 0.01044997 ₿ 0.01095847
2026-06-28 ₿ 0.00728134 ₿ 0.00801675 ₿ 0.00875200 ₿ 0.00954048 ₿ 0.01036041 ₿ 0.01118638 ₿ 0.01207978
2026-07-05 ₿ 0.00678451 ₿ 0.00770612 ₿ 0.00863992 ₿ 0.00965329 ₿ 0.01071858 ₿ 0.01180216 ₿ 0.01298462
2026-07-12 ₿ 0.00644821 ₿ 0.00751795 ₿ 0.00861387 ₿ 0.00981459 ₿ 0.01108764 ₿ 0.01239223 ₿ 0.01382542
2026-07-19 ₿ 0.00616972 ₿ 0.00736360 ₿ 0.00859868 ₿ 0.00996312 ₿ 0.01142027 ₿ 0.01292282 ₿ 0.01458261
2026-07-26 ₿ 0.00578904 ₿ 0.00707713 ₿ 0.00842295 ₿ 0.00992197 ₿ 0.01153419 ₿ 0.01320659 ₿ 0.01506367
2026-08-02 ₿ 0.00548903 ₿ 0.00686204 ₿ 0.00830971 ₿ 0.00993417 ₿ 0.01169227 ₿ 0.01352555 ₿ 0.01557046
2026-08-09 ₿ 0.00522872 ₿ 0.00667780 ₿ 0.00821890 ₿ 0.00996013 ₿ 0.01185543 ₿ 0.01384111 ₿ 0.01606495
2026-08-16 ₿ 0.00495237 ₿ 0.00646440 ₿ 0.00808650 ₿ 0.00993180 ₿ 0.01195165 ₿ 0.01407750 ₿ 0.01646751
2026-08-23 ₿ 0.00471724 ₿ 0.00628785 ₿ 0.00798679 ₿ 0.00993186 ₿ 0.01207191 ₿ 0.01433363 ₿ 0.01688525
2026-08-30 ₿ 0.00454652 ₿ 0.00617716 ₿ 0.00795426 ₿ 0.01000036 ₿ 0.01226179 ₿ 0.01466040 ₿ 0.01737458
2026-09-06 ₿ 0.00429774 ₿ 0.00596925 ₿ 0.00780647 ₿ 0.00993528 ₿ 0.01229997 ₿ 0.01481806 ₿ 0.01767674
2026-09-13 ₿ 0.00408464 ₿ 0.00579849 ₿ 0.00769807 ₿ 0.00991266 ₿ 0.01238442 ₿ 0.01502636 ₿ 0.01803480
2026-09-20 ₿ 0.00392791 ₿ 0.00568889 ₿ 0.00765561 ₿ 0.00996108 ₿ 0.01254516 ₿ 0.01531618 ₿ 0.01847999
2026-09-27 ₿ 0.00382337 ₿ 0.00563657 ₿ 0.00767513 ₿ 0.01007616 ₿ 0.01277709 ₿ 0.01568145 ₿ 0.01900491
2026-10-04 ₿ 0.00375698 ₿ 0.00562637 ₿ 0.00774045 ₿ 0.01024069 ₿ 0.01306196 ₿ 0.01610292 ₿ 0.01958931
2026-10-11 ₿ 0.00368784 ₿ 0.00560991 ₿ 0.00779616 ₿ 0.01039217 ₿ 0.01333034 ₿ 0.01650453 ₿ 0.02015030
2026-10-18 ₿ 0.00350619 ₿ 0.00545278 ₿ 0.00768494 ₿ 0.01035021 ₿ 0.01337921 ₿ 0.01666169 ₿ 0.02044109
2026-10-25 ₿ 0.00336539 ₿ 0.00534124 ₿ 0.00762371 ₿ 0.01036265 ₿ 0.01348677 ₿ 0.01688155 ₿ 0.02079867
2026-11-01 ₿ 0.00323940 ₿ 0.00524426 ₿ 0.00757680 ₿ 0.01038912 ₿ 0.01360803 ₿ 0.01711475 ₿ 0.02116917
2026-11-08 ₿ 0.00308766 ₿ 0.00511120 ₿ 0.00748421 ₿ 0.01036023 ₿ 0.01366439 ₿ 0.01727391 ₿ 0.02145615
2026-11-15 ₿ 0.00295889 ₿ 0.00500324 ₿ 0.00741866 ₿ 0.01036029 ₿ 0.01375148 ₿ 0.01746541 ₿ 0.02177704
2026-11-22 ₿ 0.00287395 ₿ 0.00494822 ₿ 0.00741448 ₿ 0.01043014 ₿ 0.01391658 ₿ 0.01774268 ₿ 0.02219163