Vertiv price forecast: what the model says

VRT SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$201.66

Base Path by May 16, 2027

$261.15

Bear 68%

$133.20

Bull 68%

$583.39

68% Range Width

172.4%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-11-22 $142.89 $157.88 $174.13 $193.08 $214.67 $238.57 $267.13
2026-11-29 $124.89 $145.38 $169.08 $198.70 $235.05 $278.57 $335.18
2026-12-06 $113.22 $136.89 $165.60 $203.42 $252.56 $315.16 $402.43
2026-12-13 $105.97 $132.15 $165.19 $210.64 $272.69 $356.15 $479.94
2026-12-20 $100.04 $128.07 $164.66 $216.94 $291.49 $396.78 $562.09
2026-12-27 $92.96 $121.60 $160.04 $216.75 $300.63 $424.21 $628.25
2027-01-03 $86.99 $115.99 $155.88 $216.44 $309.10 $451.05 $696.80
2027-01-10 $81.07 $109.89 $150.41 $213.48 $312.90 $470.67 $755.91
2027-01-17 $78.38 $108.11 $150.89 $219.29 $330.71 $514.48 $863.30
2027-01-24 $76.05 $106.63 $151.60 $225.38 $349.38 $561.83 $985.08
2027-01-31 $73.16 $104.08 $150.44 $228.26 $362.84 $601.56 $1,099.19
2027-02-07 $70.24 $101.26 $148.59 $229.77 $373.94 $638.22 $1,213.61
2027-02-14 $64.95 $94.61 $140.49 $220.51 $365.65 $638.81 $1,254.98
2027-02-21 $63.45 $93.80 $141.69 $227.27 $387.35 $700.64 $1,445.89
2027-02-28 $61.82 $92.66 $142.23 $232.87 $407.46 $762.27 $1,651.72
2027-03-07 $60.85 $92.49 $144.34 $241.42 $434.27 $842.20 $1,924.60
2027-03-14 $59.73 $91.99 $145.81 $248.89 $459.78 $923.57 $2,225.50
2027-03-21 $57.42 $89.35 $143.36 $248.65 $469.19 $969.62 $2,440.82
2027-03-28 $55.27 $86.84 $140.96 $248.29 $478.23 $1,016.22 $2,672.17
2027-04-04 $52.80 $83.65 $137.15 $244.78 $479.94 $1,045.03 $2,856.65
2027-04-11 $51.99 $83.30 $138.46 $251.67 $505.88 $1,140.10 $3,295.45
2027-04-18 $51.25 $83.03 $139.87 $258.90 $533.50 $1,245.18 $3,813.96
2027-04-25 $50.05 $81.86 $139.51 $262.32 $552.51 $1,330.36 $4,295.60
2027-05-02 $48.72 $80.37 $138.43 $264.12 $567.75 $1,407.87 $4,782.65
2027-05-09 $45.80 $75.92 $131.57 $253.12 $550.49 $1,388.48 $4,859.49
2027-05-16 $45.23 $75.82 $133.20 $261.15 $583.39 $1,530.82 $5,749.75

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.