Riot Platforms price forecast: what the model says

RIOT SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$17.61

Base Path by May 16, 2027

$20.58

Bear 68%

$9.01

Bull 68%

$39.89

68% Range Width

150.1%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-11-22 $12.80 $14.60 $16.48 $18.59 $20.88 $23.28 $26.00
2026-11-29 $9.78 $12.25 $14.99 $18.24 $21.96 $26.04 $30.84
2026-12-06 $8.49 $11.39 $14.75 $18.88 $23.77 $29.29 $35.96
2026-12-13 $7.51 $10.70 $14.53 $19.40 $25.31 $32.15 $40.57
2026-12-20 $6.77 $10.17 $14.41 $19.94 $26.80 $34.91 $45.06
2026-12-27 $5.83 $9.28 $13.74 $19.71 $27.30 $36.43 $48.04
2027-01-03 $5.00 $8.43 $13.03 $19.35 $27.55 $37.60 $50.56
2027-01-10 $4.26 $7.63 $12.30 $18.90 $27.64 $38.52 $52.75
2027-01-17 $3.71 $7.04 $11.80 $18.69 $28.00 $39.76 $55.32
2027-01-24 $3.21 $6.46 $11.26 $18.39 $28.19 $40.75 $57.57
2027-01-31 $2.97 $6.28 $11.29 $18.85 $29.39 $43.04 $61.47
2027-02-07 $2.79 $6.15 $11.36 $19.37 $30.68 $45.45 $65.56
2027-02-14 $2.55 $5.92 $11.30 $19.70 $31.72 $47.59 $69.35
2027-02-21 $2.20 $5.45 $10.81 $19.39 $31.87 $48.53 $71.61
2027-02-28 $2.09 $5.40 $10.99 $20.05 $33.38 $51.31 $76.29
2027-03-07 $1.96 $5.31 $11.08 $20.59 $34.71 $53.86 $80.69
2027-03-14 $1.85 $5.23 $11.20 $21.15 $36.09 $56.48 $85.20
2027-03-21 $1.62 $4.87 $10.81 $20.92 $36.29 $57.49 $87.58
2027-03-28 $1.39 $4.49 $10.34 $20.53 $36.26 $58.17 $89.51
2027-04-04 $1.17 $4.10 $9.84 $20.06 $36.08 $58.62 $91.12
2027-04-11 $1.01 $3.82 $9.52 $19.85 $36.27 $59.58 $93.42
2027-04-18 $0.8612 $3.53 $9.14 $19.54 $36.27 $60.26 $95.34
2027-04-25 $0.8107 $3.48 $9.23 $20.01 $37.50 $62.70 $99.68
2027-05-02 $0.7708 $3.46 $9.37 $20.56 $38.84 $65.31 $104.29
2027-05-09 $0.7087 $3.38 $9.37 $20.90 $39.89 $67.54 $108.44
2027-05-16 $0.5944 $3.11 $9.01 $20.58 $39.89 $68.27 $110.52

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.