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Astera Labs (ALAB) research
Every model we publish for Astera Labs — valuation, risk and forecast — regenerated daily from market data. Free, no account.
Astera Labs key levels today
The headline figure from each of Astera Labs's reports, as published today. Each comes from the report linked beside it.
| 200-week TWAP | $149.95 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| Gravity Risk (0-100) | 31.0 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| 200-week moving average | $150.14 | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Accumulation line (-1σ) | $281.56 | Valuation Bands |
| Valuation-band fair value | $364.01 | Valuation Bands |
| Distribution line (+1σ) | $470.61 | Valuation Bands |
| Detected market phase | Deep Capitulation (-2σ) | Valuation Bands |
| Moving-average risk score | 47.4% | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Forecast base target | $193.59 (68% range $68.12 to $648.82) | Price Forecast |
Is Astera Labs overvalued right now?
Astera Labs trades 46% above its 200-week Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP), with a Gravity Risk score of 31.0/100.
Where is Astera Labs against its 200-week moving average?
Astera Labs is 45.8% above its 200-week moving average of $150.14, at $218.82. Macro risk score 47.4%.
What are Astera Labs's fair value, floor and ceiling?
Astera Labs fair value $364.01; the phase detector reads Deep Capitulation (-2σ), 17.0% through the phase.
What does the model forecast for the Astera Labs price?
Astera Labs model base target $193.59 by May 16, 2027, with a 68% range of $68.12 to $648.82.
How does Astera Labs's reading today compare with its own history?
Across the 43 daily readings published from 2026-09-04 to 2026-11-09, Astera Labs's moving-average risk score ranged from 45 to 83.5 (47.4 today) and its phase completion ranged from 13.6% to 51.3% (17% today).
How does Astera Labs's Gravity Risk compare with other AI infrastructure stocks?
Astera Labs's Gravity Risk of 31 is the 16th lowest of the 32 AI infrastructure stocks we track, against a median of 31.4. The lowest reading today is CoreWeave at 0 and the highest is Riskified at 98.3. By premium to its 200-week TWAP, 46% above, it is the 13th highest of the 32, against a median of 40% above.