LTC/ETH Asset Valuation

LAST UPDATE: 2026-06-12 02:16 UTC | 23-WEEK HORIZON

68% Bear Target

Ξ 0.016444

23-Week Base Target

Ξ 0.023774

68% Bull Target

Ξ 0.035388

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

This analysis provides a projection of LTC's valuation against Ethereum (ETH) using a Seasonal ARIMA model combined with a Box-Cox transformation to normalize historical volatility.

  • Bear Case: The lower bound of the confidence interval, representing a pessimistic rotation out of the asset and into ETH.
  • Base Case: The mathematical mean trajectory projected by the algorithm.
  • Bull Case: The upper bound of the confidence interval, representing an optimistic outperformance against ETH.

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%. This acts as a mathematical cone illustrating the probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull bounds over the next 23 weeks.

NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY.

Raw Data Matrix (ETH)

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-06-21 Ξ 0.021229 Ξ 0.022576 Ξ 0.023964 Ξ 0.025502 Ξ 0.027160 Ξ 0.028894 Ξ 0.030848
2026-06-28 Ξ 0.018878 Ξ 0.020814 Ξ 0.022897 Ξ 0.025308 Ξ 0.028030 Ξ 0.031016 Ξ 0.034549
2026-07-05 Ξ 0.017390 Ξ 0.019635 Ξ 0.022119 Ξ 0.025083 Ξ 0.028536 Ξ 0.032447 Ξ 0.037237
2026-07-12 Ξ 0.016355 Ξ 0.018829 Ξ 0.021630 Ξ 0.025056 Ξ 0.029152 Ξ 0.033921 Ξ 0.039933
2026-07-19 Ξ 0.015726 Ξ 0.018414 Ξ 0.021523 Ξ 0.025408 Ξ 0.030163 Ξ 0.035837 Ξ 0.043182
2026-07-26 Ξ 0.015020 Ξ 0.017849 Ξ 0.021179 Ξ 0.025419 Ξ 0.030718 Ξ 0.037180 Ξ 0.045746
2026-08-02 Ξ 0.014265 Ξ 0.017172 Ξ 0.020647 Ξ 0.025148 Ξ 0.030876 Ξ 0.038000 Ξ 0.047647
2026-08-09 Ξ 0.013750 Ξ 0.016755 Ξ 0.020401 Ξ 0.025199 Ξ 0.031415 Ξ 0.039291 Ξ 0.050180
2026-08-16 Ξ 0.013172 Ξ 0.016226 Ξ 0.019983 Ξ 0.024998 Ξ 0.031599 Ξ 0.040108 Ξ 0.052099
2026-08-23 Ξ 0.012660 Ξ 0.015755 Ξ 0.019609 Ξ 0.024824 Ξ 0.031793 Ξ 0.040924 Ξ 0.054028
2026-08-30 Ξ 0.012229 Ξ 0.015367 Ξ 0.019321 Ξ 0.024741 Ξ 0.032089 Ξ 0.041869 Ξ 0.056154
2026-09-06 Ξ 0.011839 Ξ 0.015013 Ξ 0.019058 Ξ 0.024671 Ξ 0.032387 Ξ 0.042813 Ξ 0.058303
2026-09-13 Ξ 0.011391 Ξ 0.014587 Ξ 0.018708 Ξ 0.024504 Ξ 0.032591 Ξ 0.043698 Ξ 0.060510
2026-09-20 Ξ 0.010958 Ξ 0.014165 Ξ 0.018351 Ξ 0.024314 Ξ 0.032757 Ξ 0.044542 Ξ 0.062713
2026-09-27 Ξ 0.010549 Ξ 0.013759 Ξ 0.017994 Ξ 0.024100 Ξ 0.032867 Ξ 0.045294 Ξ 0.064797
2026-10-04 Ξ 0.010237 Ξ 0.013469 Ξ 0.017781 Ξ 0.024074 Ξ 0.033234 Ξ 0.046421 Ξ 0.067490
2026-10-11 Ξ 0.010072 Ξ 0.013373 Ξ 0.017826 Ξ 0.024409 Ξ 0.034132 Ξ 0.048358 Ξ 0.071521
2026-10-18 Ξ 0.009808 Ξ 0.013129 Ξ 0.017654 Ξ 0.024420 Ξ 0.034544 Ξ 0.049576 Ξ 0.074479
2026-10-25 Ξ 0.009473 Ξ 0.012772 Ξ 0.017309 Ξ 0.024162 Ξ 0.034536 Ξ 0.050147 Ξ 0.076415
2026-11-01 Ξ 0.009255 Ξ 0.012572 Ξ 0.017178 Ξ 0.024211 Ξ 0.034990 Ξ 0.051439 Ξ 0.079585
2026-11-08 Ξ 0.008975 Ξ 0.012275 Ξ 0.016896 Ξ 0.024019 Ξ 0.035061 Ξ 0.052128 Ξ 0.081779
2026-11-15 Ξ 0.008717 Ξ 0.012002 Ξ 0.016638 Ξ 0.023853 Ξ 0.035161 Ξ 0.052859 Ξ 0.084072
2026-11-22 Ξ 0.008499 Ξ 0.011777 Ξ 0.016444 Ξ 0.023774 Ξ 0.035388 Ξ 0.053799 Ξ 0.086763