IREN price forecast: what the model says

IREN SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$22.19

Base Path by May 16, 2027

$24.01

Bear 68%

$9.66

Bull 68%

$66.97

68% Range Width

238.7%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-11-22 $14.99 $17.36 $20.03 $23.27 $27.12 $31.55 $37.06
2026-11-29 $11.87 $14.88 $18.60 $23.57 $30.06 $38.36 $49.86
2026-12-06 $10.53 $13.97 $18.49 $24.95 $34.04 $46.58 $65.49
2026-12-13 $9.37 $13.00 $18.03 $25.60 $36.94 $53.61 $80.60
2026-12-20 $8.62 $12.43 $17.95 $26.69 $40.48 $61.99 $99.18
2026-12-27 $8.09 $12.08 $18.10 $28.05 $44.57 $71.76 $121.77
2027-01-03 $7.20 $11.06 $17.08 $27.40 $45.25 $76.02 $135.68
2027-01-10 $6.26 $9.85 $15.60 $25.77 $44.00 $76.68 $143.03
2027-01-17 $5.62 $9.05 $14.69 $24.97 $44.06 $79.64 $155.26
2027-01-24 $5.07 $8.33 $13.84 $24.15 $43.93 $82.17 $167.03
2027-01-31 $4.54 $7.60 $12.88 $23.03 $43.05 $83.07 $175.47
2027-02-07 $4.21 $7.19 $12.44 $22.80 $43.87 $87.49 $192.57
2027-02-14 $4.03 $7.03 $12.45 $23.48 $46.71 $96.79 $223.58
2027-02-21 $3.81 $6.78 $12.28 $23.79 $48.84 $104.95 $253.90
2027-02-28 $3.74 $6.81 $12.63 $25.18 $53.52 $119.78 $305.29
2027-03-07 $3.59 $6.66 $12.63 $25.84 $56.66 $131.53 $351.57
2027-03-14 $3.50 $6.62 $12.82 $26.94 $60.98 $147.07 $413.29
2027-03-21 $3.44 $6.63 $13.12 $28.31 $66.20 $165.97 $491.09
2027-03-28 $3.20 $6.25 $12.57 $27.66 $66.21 $170.83 $525.27
2027-04-04 $2.90 $5.72 $11.65 $26.01 $63.43 $167.38 $530.52
2027-04-11 $2.69 $5.38 $11.10 $25.21 $62.79 $170.02 $558.17
2027-04-18 $2.50 $5.05 $10.56 $24.38 $61.96 $171.97 $584.03
2027-04-25 $2.30 $4.69 $9.93 $23.24 $60.12 $170.54 $596.82
2027-05-02 $2.18 $4.51 $9.66 $23.01 $60.82 $177.22 $643.86
2027-05-09 $2.12 $4.46 $9.73 $23.70 $64.41 $194.37 $741.63
2027-05-16 $2.05 $4.36 $9.66 $24.01 $66.97 $208.79 $834.31

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.