DOT/ETH Asset Valuation

LAST UPDATE: 2026-06-12 02:16 UTC | 23-WEEK HORIZON

68% Bear Target

Ξ 0.000259

23-Week Base Target

Ξ 0.000429

68% Bull Target

Ξ 0.000700

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

This analysis provides a projection of DOT's valuation against Ethereum (ETH) using a Seasonal ARIMA model combined with a Box-Cox transformation to normalize historical volatility.

  • Bear Case: The lower bound of the confidence interval, representing a pessimistic rotation out of the asset and into ETH.
  • Base Case: The mathematical mean trajectory projected by the algorithm.
  • Bull Case: The upper bound of the confidence interval, representing an optimistic outperformance against ETH.

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%. This acts as a mathematical cone illustrating the probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull bounds over the next 23 weeks.

NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY.

Raw Data Matrix (ETH)

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-06-21 Ξ 0.000440 Ξ 0.000475 Ξ 0.000512 Ξ 0.000552 Ξ 0.000596 Ξ 0.000641 Ξ 0.000692
2026-06-28 Ξ 0.000375 Ξ 0.000425 Ξ 0.000478 Ξ 0.000540 Ξ 0.000610 Ξ 0.000686 Ξ 0.000774
2026-07-05 Ξ 0.000334 Ξ 0.000393 Ξ 0.000458 Ξ 0.000536 Ξ 0.000626 Ξ 0.000727 Ξ 0.000850
2026-07-12 Ξ 0.000305 Ξ 0.000369 Ξ 0.000443 Ξ 0.000533 Ξ 0.000641 Ξ 0.000766 Ξ 0.000920
2026-07-19 Ξ 0.000281 Ξ 0.000349 Ξ 0.000429 Ξ 0.000530 Ξ 0.000653 Ξ 0.000798 Ξ 0.000982
2026-07-26 Ξ 0.000259 Ξ 0.000330 Ξ 0.000415 Ξ 0.000524 Ξ 0.000660 Ξ 0.000823 Ξ 0.001035
2026-08-02 Ξ 0.000242 Ξ 0.000314 Ξ 0.000403 Ξ 0.000520 Ξ 0.000668 Ξ 0.000850 Ξ 0.001090
2026-08-09 Ξ 0.000227 Ξ 0.000302 Ξ 0.000395 Ξ 0.000518 Ξ 0.000679 Ξ 0.000879 Ξ 0.001146
2026-08-16 Ξ 0.000216 Ξ 0.000292 Ξ 0.000389 Ξ 0.000520 Ξ 0.000692 Ξ 0.000911 Ξ 0.001209
2026-08-23 Ξ 0.000201 Ξ 0.000277 Ξ 0.000376 Ξ 0.000511 Ξ 0.000692 Ξ 0.000924 Ξ 0.001246
2026-08-30 Ξ 0.000187 Ξ 0.000262 Ξ 0.000361 Ξ 0.000499 Ξ 0.000687 Ξ 0.000932 Ξ 0.001275
2026-09-06 Ξ 0.000176 Ξ 0.000250 Ξ 0.000350 Ξ 0.000491 Ξ 0.000686 Ξ 0.000944 Ξ 0.001310
2026-09-13 Ξ 0.000161 Ξ 0.000234 Ξ 0.000332 Ξ 0.000474 Ξ 0.000674 Ξ 0.000942 Ξ 0.001329
2026-09-20 Ξ 0.000149 Ξ 0.000221 Ξ 0.000320 Ξ 0.000464 Ξ 0.000670 Ξ 0.000951 Ξ 0.001363
2026-09-27 Ξ 0.000141 Ξ 0.000212 Ξ 0.000312 Ξ 0.000460 Ξ 0.000675 Ξ 0.000972 Ξ 0.001414
2026-10-04 Ξ 0.000134 Ξ 0.000205 Ξ 0.000306 Ξ 0.000458 Ξ 0.000682 Ξ 0.000996 Ξ 0.001469
2026-10-11 Ξ 0.000127 Ξ 0.000197 Ξ 0.000299 Ξ 0.000455 Ξ 0.000687 Ξ 0.001018 Ξ 0.001521
2026-10-18 Ξ 0.000120 Ξ 0.000189 Ξ 0.000291 Ξ 0.000450 Ξ 0.000689 Ξ 0.001034 Ξ 0.001566
2026-10-25 Ξ 0.000114 Ξ 0.000183 Ξ 0.000285 Ξ 0.000447 Ξ 0.000694 Ξ 0.001054 Ξ 0.001616
2026-11-01 Ξ 0.000109 Ξ 0.000177 Ξ 0.000280 Ξ 0.000445 Ξ 0.000700 Ξ 0.001077 Ξ 0.001672
2026-11-08 Ξ 0.000104 Ξ 0.000173 Ξ 0.000277 Ξ 0.000446 Ξ 0.000711 Ξ 0.001106 Ξ 0.001737
2026-11-15 Ξ 0.000098 Ξ 0.000166 Ξ 0.000269 Ξ 0.000439 Ξ 0.000708 Ξ 0.001114 Ξ 0.001770
2026-11-22 Ξ 0.000092 Ξ 0.000158 Ξ 0.000259 Ξ 0.000429 Ξ 0.000700 Ξ 0.001115 Ξ 0.001793