DOT/BTC Asset Valuation

LAST UPDATE: 2026-06-12 02:17 UTC | 23-WEEK HORIZON

68% Bear Target

₿ 0.00000309

23-Week Base Target

₿ 0.00000951

68% Bull Target

₿ 0.00002292

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

This analysis provides a projection of DOT's valuation against Bitcoin (BTC) using a Seasonal ARIMA model combined with a Box-Cox transformation to normalize historical volatility.

  • Bear Case: The lower bound of the confidence interval, representing a pessimistic rotation out of the asset and into BTC.
  • Base Case: The mathematical mean trajectory projected by the algorithm.
  • Bull Case: The upper bound of the confidence interval, representing an optimistic outperformance against BTC.

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%. This acts as a mathematical cone illustrating the probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull bounds over the next 23 weeks.

NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY.

Raw Data Matrix (BTC)

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-06-21 ₿ 0.00000935 ₿ 0.00001099 ₿ 0.00001276 ₿ 0.00001480 ₿ 0.00001707 ₿ 0.00001952 ₿ 0.00002235
2026-06-28 ₿ 0.00000698 ₿ 0.00000905 ₿ 0.00001145 ₿ 0.00001438 ₿ 0.00001785 ₿ 0.00002179 ₿ 0.00002657
2026-07-05 ₿ 0.00000549 ₿ 0.00000777 ₿ 0.00001056 ₿ 0.00001418 ₿ 0.00001866 ₿ 0.00002396 ₿ 0.00003063
2026-07-12 ₿ 0.00000464 ₿ 0.00000710 ₿ 0.00001027 ₿ 0.00001455 ₿ 0.00002005 ₿ 0.00002678 ₿ 0.00003549
2026-07-19 ₿ 0.00000367 ₿ 0.00000609 ₿ 0.00000938 ₿ 0.00001403 ₿ 0.00002023 ₿ 0.00002804 ₿ 0.00003842
2026-07-26 ₿ 0.00000298 ₿ 0.00000534 ₿ 0.00000872 ₿ 0.00001369 ₿ 0.00002054 ₿ 0.00002941 ₿ 0.00004148
2026-08-02 ₿ 0.00000247 ₿ 0.00000477 ₿ 0.00000824 ₿ 0.00001351 ₿ 0.00002101 ₿ 0.00003095 ₿ 0.00004475
2026-08-09 ₿ 0.00000205 ₿ 0.00000427 ₿ 0.00000778 ₿ 0.00001331 ₿ 0.00002140 ₿ 0.00003235 ₿ 0.00004784
2026-08-16 ₿ 0.00000175 ₿ 0.00000392 ₿ 0.00000750 ₿ 0.00001332 ₿ 0.00002204 ₿ 0.00003410 ₿ 0.00005140
2026-08-23 ₿ 0.00000143 ₿ 0.00000347 ₿ 0.00000700 ₿ 0.00001296 ₿ 0.00002211 ₿ 0.00003502 ₿ 0.00005386
2026-08-30 ₿ 0.00000114 ₿ 0.00000303 ₿ 0.00000646 ₿ 0.00001245 ₿ 0.00002192 ₿ 0.00003555 ₿ 0.00005575
2026-09-06 ₿ 0.00000089 ₿ 0.00000260 ₿ 0.00000588 ₿ 0.00001184 ₿ 0.00002152 ₿ 0.00003573 ₿ 0.00005714
2026-09-13 ₿ 0.00000070 ₿ 0.00000226 ₿ 0.00000545 ₿ 0.00001145 ₿ 0.00002147 ₿ 0.00003647 ₿ 0.00005942
2026-09-20 ₿ 0.00000054 ₿ 0.00000197 ₿ 0.00000506 ₿ 0.00001110 ₿ 0.00002144 ₿ 0.00003723 ₿ 0.00006175
2026-09-27 ₿ 0.00000044 ₿ 0.00000176 ₿ 0.00000479 ₿ 0.00001092 ₿ 0.00002169 ₿ 0.00003839 ₿ 0.00006469
2026-10-04 ₿ 0.00000038 ₿ 0.00000169 ₿ 0.00000478 ₿ 0.00001122 ₿ 0.00002272 ₿ 0.00004078 ₿ 0.00006947
2026-10-11 ₿ 0.00000029 ₿ 0.00000145 ₿ 0.00000441 ₿ 0.00001079 ₿ 0.00002250 ₿ 0.00004121 ₿ 0.00007135
2026-10-18 ₿ 0.00000022 ₿ 0.00000128 ₿ 0.00000413 ₿ 0.00001052 ₿ 0.00002250 ₿ 0.00004199 ₿ 0.00007376
2026-10-25 ₿ 0.00000018 ₿ 0.00000114 ₿ 0.00000393 ₿ 0.00001037 ₿ 0.00002273 ₿ 0.00004311 ₿ 0.00007669
2026-11-01 ₿ 0.00000014 ₿ 0.00000102 ₿ 0.00000373 ₿ 0.00001021 ₿ 0.00002290 ₿ 0.00004414 ₿ 0.00007950
2026-11-08 ₿ 0.00000011 ₿ 0.00000094 ₿ 0.00000361 ₿ 0.00001021 ₿ 0.00002338 ₿ 0.00004567 ₿ 0.00008311
2026-11-15 ₿ 0.00000008 ₿ 0.00000082 ₿ 0.00000337 ₿ 0.00000992 ₿ 0.00002327 ₿ 0.00004623 ₿ 0.00008521
2026-11-22 ₿ 0.00000005 ₿ 0.00000069 ₿ 0.00000309 ₿ 0.00000951 ₿ 0.00002292 ₿ 0.00004636 ₿ 0.00008661