68% Bear Case

$0.04

23-Week Base Target

$0.10

68% Bull Case

$0.23

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

This analysis provides a forecast of DOGE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation.

  • Bear Case: The lower bound of the confidence interval, representing a pessimistic scenario.
  • Base Case: The average forecasted trajectory.
  • Bull Case: The upper bound of the confidence interval, representing an optimistic scenario.

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%. This acts as a mathematical cone illustrating the probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull bounds over the next 23 weeks.

Raw Data Matrix (USD)

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-06-14 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09 0.10 0.11 0.13
2026-06-21 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.09 0.11 0.14 0.17
2026-06-28 0.04 0.05 0.07 0.09 0.12 0.16 0.20
2026-07-05 0.03 0.05 0.07 0.09 0.13 0.17 0.23
2026-07-12 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.09 0.13 0.19 0.26
2026-07-19 0.02 0.03 0.06 0.09 0.14 0.20 0.28
2026-07-26 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.09 0.14 0.21 0.31
2026-08-02 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.09 0.15 0.23 0.35
2026-08-09 0.01 0.03 0.05 0.09 0.16 0.25 0.38
2026-08-16 0.01 0.03 0.05 0.10 0.17 0.27 0.42
2026-08-23 0.01 0.02 0.05 0.09 0.17 0.27 0.44
2026-08-30 0.01 0.02 0.05 0.09 0.17 0.28 0.46
2026-09-06 0.01 0.02 0.05 0.10 0.18 0.30 0.50
2026-09-13 0.01 0.02 0.05 0.10 0.19 0.33 0.55
2026-09-20 0.01 0.02 0.05 0.10 0.19 0.34 0.58
2026-09-27 0.01 0.02 0.05 0.10 0.20 0.35 0.61
2026-10-04 0.00 0.02 0.04 0.10 0.20 0.36 0.64
2026-10-11 0.00 0.02 0.04 0.10 0.20 0.37 0.66
2026-10-18 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.10 0.21 0.39 0.69
2026-10-25 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.10 0.21 0.40 0.73
2026-11-01 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.10 0.22 0.43 0.78
2026-11-08 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.10 0.23 0.45 0.83
2026-11-15 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.10 0.23 0.45 0.85