DOGE/BTC Asset Valuation

LAST UPDATE: 2026-06-12 02:18 UTC | 23-WEEK HORIZON

68% Bear Target

₿ 0.00000002

23-Week Base Target

₿ 0.00000092

68% Bull Target

₿ 0.00000815

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

This analysis provides a projection of DOGE's valuation against Bitcoin (BTC) using a Seasonal ARIMA model combined with a Box-Cox transformation to normalize historical volatility.

  • Bear Case: The lower bound of the confidence interval, representing a pessimistic rotation out of the asset and into BTC.
  • Base Case: The mathematical mean trajectory projected by the algorithm.
  • Bull Case: The upper bound of the confidence interval, representing an optimistic outperformance against BTC.

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%. This acts as a mathematical cone illustrating the probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull bounds over the next 23 weeks.

NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY.

Raw Data Matrix (BTC)

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-06-21 ₿ 0.00000015 ₿ 0.00000033 ₿ 0.00000064 ₿ 0.00000115 ₿ 0.00000194 ₿ 0.00000307 ₿ 0.00000475
2026-06-28 ₿ 0.00000007 ₿ 0.00000023 ₿ 0.00000057 ₿ 0.00000125 ₿ 0.00000246 ₿ 0.00000437 ₿ 0.00000746
2026-07-05 ₿ 0.00000003 ₿ 0.00000013 ₿ 0.00000044 ₿ 0.00000117 ₿ 0.00000263 ₿ 0.00000517 ₿ 0.00000960
2026-07-12 ₿ 0.00000001 ₿ 0.00000008 ₿ 0.00000035 ₿ 0.00000112 ₿ 0.00000283 ₿ 0.00000604 ₿ 0.00001192
2026-07-19 ₿ 0.00000000 ₿ 0.00000005 ₿ 0.00000030 ₿ 0.00000110 ₿ 0.00000308 ₿ 0.00000700 ₿ 0.00001453
2026-07-26 ₿ 0.00000000 ₿ 0.00000004 ₿ 0.00000026 ₿ 0.00000110 ₿ 0.00000334 ₿ 0.00000802 ₿ 0.00001736
2026-08-02 ₿ 0.00000000 ₿ 0.00000002 ₿ 0.00000023 ₿ 0.00000111 ₿ 0.00000363 ₿ 0.00000914 ₿ 0.00002047
2026-08-09 ₿ 0.00000000 ₿ 0.00000001 ₿ 0.00000019 ₿ 0.00000108 ₿ 0.00000380 ₿ 0.00001005 ₿ 0.00002328
2026-08-16 ₿ 0.00000000 ₿ 0.00000001 ₿ 0.00000017 ₿ 0.00000107 ₿ 0.00000403 ₿ 0.00001109 ₿ 0.00002646
2026-08-23 ₿ 0.00000000 ₿ 0.00000001 ₿ 0.00000015 ₿ 0.00000108 ₿ 0.00000432 ₿ 0.00001230 ₿ 0.00003006
2026-08-30 ₿ nan ₿ 0.00000000 ₿ 0.00000012 ₿ 0.00000101 ₿ 0.00000436 ₿ 0.00001296 ₿ 0.00003262
2026-09-06 ₿ nan ₿ 0.00000000 ₿ 0.00000010 ₿ 0.00000098 ₿ 0.00000451 ₿ 0.00001388 ₿ 0.00003579
2026-09-13 ₿ nan ₿ 0.00000000 ₿ 0.00000010 ₿ 0.00000105 ₿ 0.00000511 ₿ 0.00001626 ₿ 0.00004284
2026-09-20 ₿ nan ₿ 0.00000000 ₿ 0.00000010 ₿ 0.00000115 ₿ 0.00000582 ₿ 0.00001896 ₿ 0.00005076
2026-09-27 ₿ nan ₿ 0.00000000 ₿ 0.00000007 ₿ 0.00000107 ₿ 0.00000589 ₿ 0.00002008 ₿ 0.00005541
2026-10-04 ₿ nan ₿ 0.00000000 ₿ 0.00000006 ₿ 0.00000102 ₿ 0.00000609 ₿ 0.00002155 ₿ 0.00006097
2026-10-11 ₿ nan ₿ 0.00000000 ₿ 0.00000005 ₿ 0.00000101 ₿ 0.00000639 ₿ 0.00002336 ₿ 0.00006745
2026-10-18 ₿ nan ₿ 0.00000000 ₿ 0.00000004 ₿ 0.00000101 ₿ 0.00000674 ₿ 0.00002535 ₿ 0.00007451
2026-10-25 ₿ nan ₿ 0.00000000 ₿ 0.00000004 ₿ 0.00000102 ₿ 0.00000715 ₿ 0.00002756 ₿ 0.00008228
2026-11-01 ₿ nan ₿ nan ₿ 0.00000003 ₿ 0.00000099 ₿ 0.00000737 ₿ 0.00002927 ₿ 0.00008902
2026-11-08 ₿ nan ₿ nan ₿ 0.00000002 ₿ 0.00000098 ₿ 0.00000770 ₿ 0.00003131 ₿ 0.00009671
2026-11-15 ₿ nan ₿ nan ₿ 0.00000002 ₿ 0.00000099 ₿ 0.00000812 ₿ 0.00003373 ₿ 0.00010548
2026-11-22 ₿ nan ₿ nan ₿ 0.00000002 ₿ 0.00000092 ₿ 0.00000815 ₿ 0.00003492 ₿ 0.00011136